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TheCloser24

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  1. TheCloser24

    December Discussion

    I dont understand the angst over a mild period for a week or so. Most winters have a few of these.
  2. TheCloser24

    December Discussion

    12z GFS shows a vigorous shortwave form a coastal low offshore early next week.
  3. TheCloser24

    December Discussion

    Seems as if the 12z euro takes northern shortwave and pulls the 12/8 storm well west through W PA and NY.
  4. TheCloser24

    December Discussion

    FWIW, FV3-GFS shows major noreaster 12/8-9.
  5. TheCloser24

    December Discussion

    12z FV3 GFS shows how next weeks storm COULD be wintry.
  6. TheCloser24

    November discussion

    Weird evolution next week on 6z GFS with coastal low and inverted trough...
  7. TheCloser24

    Nov 15/16 regionwide event

    Most of CT away from the water, now under a Winter Storm Warning.
  8. TheCloser24

    Fall Banter, Observation and General Discussion 2018

    From Michael Ventrice: Just heard word that ECMWF will soon be providing 6Z and 18Z cycles (in addition to the 0/12Z runs). This will be hourly data from 0 to 90 hours and 3-hourly data from 93 to 144 hours for 00/06/12/18Z runs. Good news to start the day!
  9. TheCloser24

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Fairfield, Litchfield, New Haven, and Hartford counties in CT.
  10. TheCloser24

    General Severe Weather Discussion 2018

    KNYC AFD: BUFKIT profiles show some veering within first 10 kft above surface, S-SW for Long Island, NYC and more SE-SW to the north with stronger magnitude, more bulk shear. Total bulk shear 35-40 kt from 0-6km. MUCAPE of 500-1000 J/kg and during the day this will become more surface based and increase to 1500-2000 J/kg. Certainly some potential for a few thunderstorms to be strong with a marginal risk for severe weather across much of the region for local damaging winds and a brief tornado possible where there is the most veering of low level winds and highest helicity, particularly parts of the Lower Hudson Valley and Southern CT.
  11. TheCloser24

    May 15 2018 Severe Threat SNE

    NWS Albany confirms 2 EF-1 tornadoes in Winsted and Barkhamsted.
  12. From Ryan's Twitter: Morning update: more concerned with dry slot and mixing in Hartford area points SE. This will hold accumulations down some. Heaviest snow expected to be in NW corner.
  13. TheCloser24

    March 2-4th ... first -NAO anchored storm perhaps in years

    Ryan, what do you think in terms of snow for the Waterbury area?
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