Jump to content

  • Member Statistics

    18,621
    Total Members
    14,841
    Most Online
    BroadWing3544
    Newest Member
    BroadWing3544
    Joined

The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

Rjay

By Rjay,
in New York City Metro

 Share

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 3.2k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Days

Popular Posts

hooralph
hooralph

Crowd is gathering in Bryant Park for the most important Euro run in the history of humanity.

Rjay
Rjay

It's tiring reading the back and forth about starting a thread vs not starting a thread.  Who cares.  There's no such thing as a jinx and even though the models have been performing poorly at this ran

forkyfork
forkyfork

this looks ideal for a 20-30" band across the metro

Posted Images

Snowman92

Snowman92

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, jdj5211 said:

I think the craziest part about this is that this could actually get even better because there’s room to come further NW with the track.

This is where the NAM gets into its wheelhouse so it has to be taken seriously.

It will go about 100miles more NW

Link to comment
Share on other sites
jm1220

jm1220

Posted
Posted
Just now, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 00z NAm Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23 - 24

 

qpf_048h-imp.us_ma.png

 

SNOW 10:1  

 


sn10_acc-imp.us_ma.png

And ratios will definitely help NW of where the max QPF ends up, and banding will probably get into all of our subforum so we all have an equal chance at this point IMO at jackpot type amounts (20"+ maybe 25"). Wow wow wow. It sucked to miss 2/1 but this makes up for it!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
TriPol

TriPol

Posted
Posted
Just now, jdj5211 said:

I think the craziest part about this is that this could actually get even better because there’s room to come further NW with the track.

This is where the NAM gets into its wheelhouse so it has to be taken seriously.

The southern stream and primary northern stream have already consolidated into a closed, negatively tilted mid-level low offshore. The Alberta clipper energy upstream is elongated and lagging, feeding into the broader trough rather than diving into the base at peak intensification as a third discrete impulse.

In other words, the phase has already happened and the system is maturing, not undergoing a fresh three-way interaction.

If that upstream energy were carving sharply southeast and visibly tightening the core at this frame, we’d be having a different conversation. But here, the structure is consolidated and occluding.

This is a powerful double phase with backside reinforcement, not a clean triple crash.

If we could get that Alberta clipper to come in... we might get Moses to start building an ark with skies!

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
MANDA

MANDA

Posted
Posted
4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

And ratios will definitely help NW of where the max QPF ends up, and banding will probably get into all of our subforum so we all have an equal chance at this point IMO at jackpot type amounts (20"+ maybe 25"). Wow wow wow. It sucked to miss 2/1 but this makes up for it!

Can you imagine if we hadn't missed 2/1 and then this was coming.  Would have been a trifecta!

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
BoulderWX

BoulderWX

Posted
Posted
10 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

2/21 00z NAm Total QPF 2/22 - 2/23 - 24

 

qpf_048h-imp.us_ma.png

 

SNOW 10:1  

 


sn10_acc-imp.us_ma.png

Thanks for waiting until runs finish to post totals. Otherwise people start getting confused. Also could you imagine 40” in deleware lol. Imagine that cleanup 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
jdj5211

jdj5211

Posted
Posted
The southern stream and primary northern stream have already consolidated into a closed, negatively tilted mid-level low offshore. The Alberta clipper energy upstream is elongated and lagging, feeding into the broader trough rather than diving into the base at peak intensification as a third discrete impulse.
In other words, the phase has already happened and the system is maturing, not undergoing a fresh three-way interaction.
If that upstream energy were carving sharply southeast and visibly tightening the core at this frame, we’d be having a different conversation. But here, the structure is consolidated and occluding.
This is a powerful double phase with backside reinforcement, not a clean triple crash.

If we could get that Alberta clipper to come in... we might get Moses to start building an ark with skies!

Whatever this means….does it mean that it can come further NW?


.
Link to comment
Share on other sites
CPcantmeasuresnow

CPcantmeasuresnow

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

I'll definitely take this but I think the last run had 2 feet into NYC or maybe I'm mixing it up with the gfs

This is how I know we've reached the saturation point. When people start looking at 22.8 inches over New York City and say didn't the last run have more?

  • Haha 2
  • 100% 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Jt17

Jt17

Posted
Posted
This is how I know we've reached the saturation point. When people start looking at 22.8 inches over New York City and say didn't the last run have more?

At 10-1 it went from 23.1 to 22.8 in nyc and the heaviest shifted closer to the city. Kuchera have some friendly ratios at 18z and that map was prob what he saw.


.
  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Rjay changed the title to The Allsnow Blizzard of 2026

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...