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Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th


Rjay
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1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

Hopefully the Euro can finally jump on so we can start really talking bigger amounts (GFS is still probably excessive until other guidance jumps on. Other models are still further east/more strung out with the low). 

The other models have been coming in more west and wrapped up every run since yesterday's 18z suite.  The gfs could be too close to the coast so I guess only time will tell.

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4 minutes ago, Rjay said:

The other models have been coming in more west and wrapped up every run since yesterday's 18z suite.  The gfs could be too close to the coast so I guess only time will tell.

GFS ticked east so maybe a meet in the middle scenario is unfolding

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Now that the expectations have done a 180 in 24 hours(no snow to a near blizzard)what can go wrong?  What are the odds we go back to out to sea?

odds of a crippling blizzard? 2 feet plus?

 

odds of a 8-12” storm?

 

odds of a 2-4” storm?

 

Im on LI and wouldn’t mind any of the above solutions

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10 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Hopefully the Euro can finally jump on so we can start really talking bigger amounts (GFS is still probably excessive until other guidance jumps on. Other models are still further east/more strung out with the low). 

Yea I’d guess the GFS is a bit overdone but that being said, seems like the immediate metro is in line for at least a SECS and that’s pretty awesome to me. 

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2 minutes ago, 495weatherguy said:

Now that the expectations have done a 180 in 24 hours(no snow to a near blizzard)what can go wrong?  What are the odds we go back to out to sea?

odds of a crippling blizzard? 2 feet plus?

 

odds of a 8-12” storm?

 

odds of a 2-4” storm?

 

Im on LI and wouldn’t mind any of the above solutions

20 % Crippling Blizzard

70 % 8 -12

30 % 2 -4 inch

This is for me in Union/Northern Middlesex County NJ

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3 minutes ago, ILoveWinter said:

Yea I’d guess the GFS is a bit overdone but that being said, seems like the immediate metro is in line for at least a SECS and that’s pretty awesome to me. 

Yep, looking more likely we finally break the curse with these coastal storms to some extent anyway. 

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