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mikem81

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About mikem81

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    JFK
  • Location:
    Hempstead, NY

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  1. mikem81

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    Looks like a typical dry and cold and then wet and warm followed by dry and cold pattern...
  2. mikem81

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    CMC very close for Monday storm
  3. mikem81

    December Discussion

    Using the NAVGEM rule would yield a good result. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=navgem&region=us&pkg=mslp_wind&runtime=2018120412&fh=144
  4. mikem81

    December 2018 General Discussion & Observations

    GFS para is a coastal scraper. Wonder if models are chasing convection and taking the SLP too far east. It has happened in the past with storms that surprised in the last few days and came well NW of initial modeling
  5. mikem81

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    Light Snow is Western Nassau 33/23. Hoping the winds stay more NE than E..... Wish we could put a pool cover over the Atlantic this time of year
  6. mikem81

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    Not sure how relevant at this point, but EURO ticked slightly colder than 0Z. Showing .4-.6 of QPF falling as snow for NYC and western LI with .6-.8 Just NW of 95
  7. mikem81

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    The Cold Air flowing from the HP over the Boston area is more entrenched then event he Hrrr shows. Looking at current obs you can the that the cold air is hanging further SW at current (18Z) then even the current Hrrr has. For example the 1028 pressure line is around 30-40 miles SW of guidance https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16#
  8. mikem81

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    Precip already in SNJ and Philly area
  9. mikem81

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    33/17 here in western nassau. Lets hope the precip speeds up
  10. mikem81

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    CUrrent obs in western Nassau County; 36/17. Nice cooling already. Down from 39 an hour ago
  11. mikem81

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    The NAM verbatim is a degree or 2 warmer for the city and immediate burbs at the surface and precip shifted NW
  12. mikem81

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    NAM looks like its gonna be west and warmer
  13. mikem81

    11/15-16 Coastal Storm/ULL Discussion

    EURO looks slightly better than 0Z for NYC metro. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2018111412/new-jersey/acc-precipitation-snow-total/20181116-0000z.html
  14. I had 4 inches at 5pm yesterday before the snow really got going. I think he meant 14 and forgot the 1.
  15. I really dont think anything can compare to that storm where there were widespread 2 foot totals. I am on western Long Island and liked the 2015 storm better given that the rates were insane almost all day as opposed to just a few hours at night. PLus I would'nt compare 26 inches to 13 inches. Maybe people east of me disagree.
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