romba
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2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
romba replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
Recon data will be ingested for 0z? -
2/13 Significant/Major Winter Storm Discussion & Observations
romba replied to Northof78's topic in New York City Metro
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Probably using the newer AIs to review the models to pick out tendencies or biases, and then compensating. I'd think that weather is still too complicated/not enough sampling yet for this to be too helpful, but who knows if in a few years this really has an effect.
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Holy moly you think ppl are pissed at the zoo keeper for poor/under measuring now?
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There’s a middle finger somewhere in that image
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Very true, that’s actually ridiculous
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Not really, but neither have we seen anything close to a hit with any consistency either. Just because there’s no consensus for exactly how it misses NYC proper, doesn’t mean there’s no consensus that it does miss. Not the greatest logic I’ll admit, but there’s something to it.
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OP’s greater resolution hold more weight so close to start time, not sure how useful the ensembles are anymore.
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Very fair, but at this juncture I feel that with each passing 6 hours the odds of a significant correction get smaller and smaller. It’s getting late early, to quote the great Yogi.
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Different path to a similar outcome. I know RGEM has a warm bias but it would take a miracle at this point to get significant snows to the city.
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Plus RGEM and latest NAM 12k. So basically all the models. RAP and HRRR are still out of range so I wouldn’t put any credence in them, Euro has shifted over to the GFS, which is quite frankly embarrassing. UKIE is useless these days too. NYC proper is pretty much out of it unless 1-3 inches of slop on street corners after an inch+ of rain is what you’re looking for.
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Unless they say cutter or OTS for NYC proper, then 0 wavering
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Yea, and the F doesn’t stand for fail
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Do I say city and immediate area? Not sure what language to use so everyone doesn’t get needlessly pissed off, thanks.
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Metro area lost the CMC