Winter Storm Threat Feb 22-24th

[nycsnow]

Euro AIFS eps

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

Model noise probably 

Geez look at some of those members too. I don't ever recall such a drastic EPS shift in this close range. Op run yes but not the ensembles 

[kat5hurricane]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is one of the biggest shifts I have ever seen from the EPS at this range. dumbfounding

Pretty wild, I didn't see this coming but it could also be a windshield wiper effect with such a drastic shift so I can see it correcting back east a bit at 0z but, who knows, this whole thing has been really unpredictable. The EPS had been pretty steady up until this cycle so this is a pretty big surprise.

[SnowGoose69]

2 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

this is one of the biggest shifts I have ever seen from the EPS at this range. dumbfounding

We’ll see what ends up happening in the end but DT’s post about the NWS soundings a few days back could have something to do with it because we’ve seen issues all winter 

[nycsnow]

1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said:

Geez look at some of those members too. I don't ever recall such a drastic EPS shift in this close range. Op run yes but not the ensembles 

Some of those would be monster storms for most this forum 

[hudsonvalley21]

4 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Euro AIFS eps

A bunch of members on the western side

[EasternLI]

Didn't expect to see the eps look like that 

[EastonSN+]

8 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

lol this just got real

From the MA forum wow.

[weatherpruf]

6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

How is this noise ? Some of you post nonsense.

 

he who is without sin.....

[EastonSN+]

Anyone confident on what tonight's runs will show?

Does anyone have that Para CMC run?

[mriceyman]

Anyone confident on what tonight's runs will show?
Does anyone have that Para CMC run?

Whoever says their confident on tonights runs is just plain lying


.

[mahk_webstah]

21 minutes ago, nycsnow said:

Model noise probably 

Pointing west for more shifts

[Nibor]

11 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Anyone confident on what tonight's runs will show?

Does anyone have that Para CMC run?

Absolutely, fuckin, no.

[Snowman92]

This is not model noise. You have GFS refusing to back down with a snowy solution and now almost every model is trending to it. Its not even friday night yet to really nail the track and amounts

[tdp146]

I’ll put a pot of coffee on for the forum since we all will be staying up till 1 AM now…

[Metasequoia]

I was hoping the 18Z Euro and its AI brother would "cave" to the GFS, but didn't really think they would... at least not yet. Having said that... we are still 3 days away. Need to see more model support and run to run consistency...

[WestBabylonWeather]

Just put 100 on the Robinhood event contract for greater than 6+ in nyc for then month of Feb with a payout of like 400 lol

[weatherpruf]

Just now, Snowman92 said:

This is not model noise. You have GFS refusing to back down with a snowy solution and now almost every model is trending to it. Its not even friday night yet to really nail the track and amounts

but it's still far enough out that all you can do is keep an eye just in case; i wouldn't stock up the bomb shelter just yet. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

i'm so happy the euro AI went north

[ILoveWinter]

Had put my phone down at 6 and when I picked it up to check on this storm, I saw several additional pages of posts so I knew something was up! Definitely didn’t expect that sort of shift from the typically steady Euro AI.

[weatherpruf]

Just now, ILoveWinter said:

Had put my phone down at 6 and when picked it up to check on this storm, ⛈️ saw several additional pages of posts so I knew something was up! Definitely didn’t expect that sort of shift from the typically steady Euro AI.

if you go online you'd think the apocalypse is happening.

[IrishRob17]

23 minutes ago, hudsonvalley21 said:

A bunch of members on the western side

Keep pushing them west 

[MJO812]

14 minutes ago, tdp146 said:

I’ll put a pot of coffee on for the forum since we all will be staying up till 1 AM now…

I will be staying up until 5 with my newborn.

[wishcast_hater]

I don’t wanna rain on anyone’s parade. And I’m hoping that this thing keeps trending west, but remember two weeks ago we were hoping for a blizzard and the only place who made out was Montauk. We had some hits on the models only to have the rug pulled out from us later in the evening.


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[MJO812]

18z ukie ensembles are also west

[wthrmn654]

OK what did i miss? Just got back from a house fire on shelter Island. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

euro ai snows from around 1pm sunday until 7pm monday!

[WeatherGeek2025]

1 minute ago, wthrmn654 said:

OK what did i miss? Just got back from a house fire on shelter Island. 

you okay? everybody okay?

[wthrmn654]

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

you okay? everybody okay?

Yes they mutual aided is for a tanker

[nycsnow]

Sref came west