hudsonvalley21

Don’t throw in the wet towel just yet.

.47 here.

FYI Mesoscale Discussion 1552 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0257 PM CDT Thu Jul 03 2025 Areas affected...parts of the Northeast and southern New England Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 484... Valid 031957Z - 032200Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 484 continues. SUMMARY...Strong to severe storms will spread east-southeast through early evening. Damaging winds will remain the primary hazard, with isolated large hail possible as well. DISCUSSION...A long-lived supercell that initially formed in southwest NY has produced a swath of damaging winds (with measured gusts of 49-53 kts in the BGM vicinity) and large hail, reported up to golf-ball size thus far. Additional updrafts have formed in both its forward and trailing flank, which should help sustain an organized cluster to the east-southeast over the next few hours with cold pool temperatures dipping into the upper 50s. With upper 80s to around 90 F temperatures from the Lower Hudson Valley east and south, a swath of damaging winds appears probable through early evening. Other multicell clusters will be capable of mainly isolated strong gusts as they impinge on the warmer boundary layer across the coastal plain. ..Grams.. 07/03/2025

July 2025 DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ ATL _ IAH ___ DEN _ PHX _ SEA + 1.3 +1.8 +2.1 +2.1 +0.6 +0.4 +2.1 +2.2 +0.9

The dew pts really fluctuate locally. SW was 73% KMJ and POU were 75% Gravitylover’s eariler post was showing numbers around 80. Makes a huge difference in heat index fluctuations locally.

That dew pt. of 81 is just insane. I wonder if it’s from being near the walkill river and the moisture from the golf course. Dew pt. here is 77 currently.

Or the links hitting him

Just think, In 6 months we could be shoveling snow

I mowed today too, so there you go lock it up

Meso discussion out Mesoscale Discussion 1363 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Areas affected...portions of the Northeast Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 191644Z - 191815Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected this afternoon with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery shows deepening towering cumulus across central and eastern New York amid moderate instability in an uncapped environment. As storms deepen, some organization/updraft rotation is expected given moderate shear (50 knots at 3km per ENX VWP). Damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail will be the primary threat from this activity. Storm coverage may be somewhat isolated early this afternoon as the upper-level trough and surface front remain across the eastern Great Lakes/southern Ontario. Additional storms may arrive this evening as those features move east, but instability will likely be weaker by this time, and the severe threat remains questionable by later this evening. ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY..

1.99” for the day so far. 73/73 thank god for air conditioning. Edit, 2.14” was the days total.

2025 ...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Minor Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, including the following county, Passaic and southeast New York, including the following counties, Orange and Rockland. * WHEN...Until 845 PM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 652 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. Minor flooding is expected to begin shortly in the advisory area. Up to 0.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Monroe, West Point, Warwick, Chester, Greenwood Lake, Florida, Harriman, Unionville, Upper Greenwood Lake, Kiryas Joel, Woodbury, Firthcliffe, Cornwall On Hudson, Fort Montgomery, Pine Island, Tuxedo Park, Central Valley and Highland Mills. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Some more cells approaching from eastern Pa and Sussex county, NJ. We’ll see what happens.

Cell finally moved thru. Up to 1.85” for the day. 1.62” in 50 minutes.

Cell has back built ,heavy rain currently had an inch of rain in 30 minutes. Glad you made it home ok. I’m sure there’s some flooding issues around. Rain shaft must had been impressive to see.

0.23 since midnight, nice cell on the doorstep, will add some more to the bucket soon.

.31 here. One more day of this. In the other thread wdrag is mentioning the upcoming heat. I guess we flip the switch to summer plus more Thunderstorm possibilities.

.31 here for the same duration.

Same here

18/9/5

Give it a few days and the a/c will be on and the mosquitoes will be biting 3.93” for the total in the Davis. 51/49 currently.

Stopped here also. 3.93” for the event. 51/49 with a west wind around 10-15 mph currently. And probably will have the a/c on in a few days.

Upton’s AFD for today, NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Winds have been increased with this update to account for gusts that have occurred higher than expected. Moderate to heavy rainfall is beginning to taper with the low moving into the Lower Hudson Valley and SW CT. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the Lower Hudson Valley through 11 am. This area has racked up 1-3" inches of rain with many of the higher amounts in Orange county. Some wrap-around precipitation will move through mid to late morning through much of the area as the low exits north and east. As we get into late morning and early afternoon, the low will continue to exit northeast of the area. This brings in drier air & cuts off most of the more intense precip. Spotty to isolated showers may still occur into the early afternoon. Another chance for brief downpours with showers and thunderstorms may occur with a frontal passage behind the departing low late this afternoon into early tonight. Instability is marginal, so only a few rumbles of thunder are expected. Flood impacts will be minimal given the quicker progression of these showers with the front and given coverage will be less compared to this morning. Ahead of and with the front, a LLJ with move through west to east, which could lead to a spike in winds, leading to gusty conditions.

A section of Upton’s AFD, NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Winds have been increased with this update to account for gusts that have occurred higher than expected. Moderate to heavy rainfall is beginning to taper with the low moving into the Lower Hudson Valley and SW CT. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the Lower Hudson Valley through 11 am. This area has racked up 1-3" inches of rain with many of the higher amounts in Orange county. Some wrap-around precipitation will move through mid to late morning through much of the area as the low exits north and east. As we get into late morning and early afternoon, the low will continue to exit northeast of the area. This brings in drier air & cuts off most of the more intense precip. Spotty to isolated showers may still occur into the early afternoon. Another chance for brief downpours with showers and thunderstorms may occur with a frontal passage behind the departing low late this afternoon into early tonight. Instability is marginal, so only a few rumbles of thunder are expected. Flood impacts will be minimal given the quicker progression of these showers with the front and given coverage will be less compared to this morning. Ahead of and with the front, a LLJ with move through west to east, which could lead to a spike in winds, leading to gusty conditions.

DCA: +2.4 101 NYC: +2.4 98 BOS: +2.0 97 ORD: +1.4 100 ATL: +1.2 101 IAH: +1.0 101 DEN: +0.7 100 PHX: +2.5 123 SEA: +0.2. 97