hudsonvalley21

Meso discussion out Mesoscale Discussion 1363 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1144 AM CDT Thu Jun 19 2025 Areas affected...portions of the Northeast Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 191644Z - 191815Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe storms are expected this afternoon with a primary threat of damaging wind gusts. DISCUSSION...Visible satellite imagery shows deepening towering cumulus across central and eastern New York amid moderate instability in an uncapped environment. As storms deepen, some organization/updraft rotation is expected given moderate shear (50 knots at 3km per ENX VWP). Damaging wind gusts and isolated large hail will be the primary threat from this activity. Storm coverage may be somewhat isolated early this afternoon as the upper-level trough and surface front remain across the eastern Great Lakes/southern Ontario. Additional storms may arrive this evening as those features move east, but instability will likely be weaker by this time, and the severe threat remains questionable by later this evening. ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/19/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY..

1.99” for the day so far. 73/73 thank god for air conditioning. Edit, 2.14” was the days total.

2025 ...FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Minor Flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey, including the following county, Passaic and southeast New York, including the following counties, Orange and Rockland. * WHEN...Until 845 PM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. Ponding of water in urban or other areas is occurring or is imminent. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 652 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. Minor flooding is expected to begin shortly in the advisory area. Up to 0.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are expected over the area. This additional rain will result in minor flooding. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Monroe, West Point, Warwick, Chester, Greenwood Lake, Florida, Harriman, Unionville, Upper Greenwood Lake, Kiryas Joel, Woodbury, Firthcliffe, Cornwall On Hudson, Fort Montgomery, Pine Island, Tuxedo Park, Central Valley and Highland Mills. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Some more cells approaching from eastern Pa and Sussex county, NJ. We’ll see what happens.

Cell finally moved thru. Up to 1.85” for the day. 1.62” in 50 minutes.

Cell has back built ,heavy rain currently had an inch of rain in 30 minutes. Glad you made it home ok. I’m sure there’s some flooding issues around. Rain shaft must had been impressive to see.

0.23 since midnight, nice cell on the doorstep, will add some more to the bucket soon.

.31 here. One more day of this. In the other thread wdrag is mentioning the upcoming heat. I guess we flip the switch to summer plus more Thunderstorm possibilities.

.31 here for the same duration.

Same here

18/9/5

Give it a few days and the a/c will be on and the mosquitoes will be biting 3.93” for the total in the Davis. 51/49 currently.

Stopped here also. 3.93” for the event. 51/49 with a west wind around 10-15 mph currently. And probably will have the a/c on in a few days.

Upton’s AFD for today, NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Winds have been increased with this update to account for gusts that have occurred higher than expected. Moderate to heavy rainfall is beginning to taper with the low moving into the Lower Hudson Valley and SW CT. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the Lower Hudson Valley through 11 am. This area has racked up 1-3" inches of rain with many of the higher amounts in Orange county. Some wrap-around precipitation will move through mid to late morning through much of the area as the low exits north and east. As we get into late morning and early afternoon, the low will continue to exit northeast of the area. This brings in drier air & cuts off most of the more intense precip. Spotty to isolated showers may still occur into the early afternoon. Another chance for brief downpours with showers and thunderstorms may occur with a frontal passage behind the departing low late this afternoon into early tonight. Instability is marginal, so only a few rumbles of thunder are expected. Flood impacts will be minimal given the quicker progression of these showers with the front and given coverage will be less compared to this morning. Ahead of and with the front, a LLJ with move through west to east, which could lead to a spike in winds, leading to gusty conditions.

A section of Upton’s AFD, NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Winds have been increased with this update to account for gusts that have occurred higher than expected. Moderate to heavy rainfall is beginning to taper with the low moving into the Lower Hudson Valley and SW CT. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the Lower Hudson Valley through 11 am. This area has racked up 1-3" inches of rain with many of the higher amounts in Orange county. Some wrap-around precipitation will move through mid to late morning through much of the area as the low exits north and east. As we get into late morning and early afternoon, the low will continue to exit northeast of the area. This brings in drier air & cuts off most of the more intense precip. Spotty to isolated showers may still occur into the early afternoon. Another chance for brief downpours with showers and thunderstorms may occur with a frontal passage behind the departing low late this afternoon into early tonight. Instability is marginal, so only a few rumbles of thunder are expected. Flood impacts will be minimal given the quicker progression of these showers with the front and given coverage will be less compared to this morning. Ahead of and with the front, a LLJ with move through west to east, which could lead to a spike in winds, leading to gusty conditions.

DCA: +2.4 101 NYC: +2.4 98 BOS: +2.0 97 ORD: +1.4 100 ATL: +1.2 101 IAH: +1.0 101 DEN: +0.7 100 PHX: +2.5 123 SEA: +0.2. 97

Impressive amounts locally. Looks like we’re in the backside of the low and will be there for a few hours. I doubt we will get any heavy rain later with this backside hanging around.

3.68” here since midnight.

Wow impressive totals since midnight. 3.68 here with light rain at 9:30 am. Radar is showing we will be in this for a couple of hours.

Stay safe Severe Weather Statement National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 833 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 TXC053-453-491-270145- /O.CON.KEWX.SV.W.0199.000000T0000Z-250527T0145Z/ Williamson TX-Travis TX-Burnet TX- 833 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CDT FOR WESTERN WILLIAMSON...NORTHWESTERN TRAVIS AND CENTRAL BURNET COUNTIES... At 833 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line extending from near Sun City to near Liberty Hill to near Hudson Bend, moving east at 35 mph. THESE ARE DESTRUCTIVE STORMS FOR FLORENCE. HAZARD...80 mph wind gusts and penny size hail. SOURCE...Radar indicated. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be heavily damaged. Expect considerable damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles. Extensive tree damage and power outages are likely. Locations impacted include... Austin, Round Rock, Cedar Park, Georgetown, Pflugerville, Bertram, Anderson Mill, Serenada, Windemere, Leander, Lago Vista, Hudson Bend, Liberty Hill, Florence, Spicewood, Georgetown Dam, Andice, Oatmeal, Sun City, and Mahomet.

Turned out to be a nice day to catch up on yard work. Tomorrow will be another nice one then unsettled weather for a good portion of the rest of the week.

Thanks, yes it was real close. Also, thanks Rodger for your time and efforts

2.03” since midnight for the day so far. Light rain currently and 50 degrees.

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service New York NY 305 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025 NYZ067-081930- Orange NY- 305 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY THROUGH 330 PM EDT... At 303 PM EDT, trained weather spotters reported a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail near New Windsor, or near Newburgh, moving northeast at 10 mph. HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Newburgh, New Windsor, Gardnertown, Orange Lake, Washingtonville, Firthcliffe, Vails Gate, Balmville, and Cornwall On Hudson.

Special Weather Statement National Weather Service New York NY 305 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025 NYZ067-081930- Orange NY- 305 PM EDT Thu May 8 2025 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN ORANGE COUNTY THROUGH 330 PM EDT... At 303 PM EDT, trained weather spotters reported a strong thunderstorm producing pea size hail near New Windsor, or near Newburgh, moving northeast at 10 mph. HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and pea size hail. SOURCE...Trained weather spotters. IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to outdoor objects is possible. Locations impacted include... Newburgh, New Windsor, Gardnertown, Orange Lake, Washingtonville, Firthcliffe, Vails Gate, Balmville, and Cornwall On Hudson.