hudsonvalley21

Surprised to see that. I would have thought it would be suppressed.

4.5” will do it here. Currently 27 and some icing up on spots. 00z runs are coming in a little more bullish for tomorrow’s event up this way. We’ll see.

And now the 12z runs(esp. short term models) have bumped up the snow for tomorrow morning. Maybe 2-3” for us inland folks.

Yup they bumped up esp. inland.

The jump west from the 06z run was big. Don’t want too much of a jump this far out.

Big shift west from the 06z run. Hope the west trend doesn’t continue to far

January 2026 DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -0.4 -1.2 -1.4 -1.5 +0.7 +1.9 -0.3 +2.1 +0.2

Just started here 21/12

Just started here 21/12

23 with a dewpt.of 9. No flakes here yet. Let’s see what the dewpt will be when it starts.

Relatives coming in Friday morning and gave me a Christmas present by saying that they extended their stay until January 4th. I call that a “lose-lose” At least I can have time alone snow blowing the driveway Friday night hoping for 4-8”. We’ll see.

Reports of hail and high winds will this front approaching

Thanks so much Walt for your thoughts, insights, and efforts along with teaching us so much here. Best of health and joy to you and your family. Please jump in any time you feel. All the best!

4.0” here.

30/30 with light snow .20”

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 NYZ067-010700- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0003.251202T0900Z-251203T0300Z/ Orange- 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches possible. * WHERE...Orange County. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. &&

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service New York NY 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 NYZ067-010700- /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.A.0003.251202T0900Z-251203T0300Z/ Orange- 113 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations between 4 and 7 inches possible. * WHERE...Orange County. * WHEN...From late Monday night through Tuesday evening. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning and evening commutes. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. &&

I agree with leaning towards the 3K. Even in the short range, the 12K over performs more so. We’ll see how this plays out. A bunch of runs to go.

No mention in the AFD’s from either in regards to the shortwave.

That result has happened many times. In addition, up on top of Storm King Mountain, is an even snowier outcome. And all are within a 5 mile radius.

TEMP _________DCA _ NYC _ BOS __ ORD _ ATL _ IAH __ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.4 1.3 1.0 -1.6 1.7 1.5 0.4 1.8 -0.3 SNOW _______ DCA _ NYC _ BOS ___ ORD _ DTW _ BUF __ DEN _ SEA _ BTV 18” 22” 31” 32” 42” 93” 52” 4” 88”

A great day indeed, hopefully you and yours had a wonderful day too.

HWO’s and wind advisory’s are out respectively, now it’s up for individuals to use common sense and have awareness for their families safety with Halloween activities later on today.

Thanks for the heads up. It’s important put it out there with the trick or treating and the possibility of a limb or tree coming down. Good to have a little extra awareness today.