Possible Record Breaking Cold + Snow Sunday 1/25 - Tuesday 1/27

[Franklin0529]

Yup Euro AI been rock steady. Usually when it locks in on something inside 5 days it's been deadly

[eduggs]

1 hour ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

i don't believe the CMC is right, that high pressure just can't get pushed like that from such a weak low pressure yes it's a big system but the pressure gradient isn't low enough for higher gradient to imbalance it that fast and strong! I call this run a bleep and I think it's either GFS or south

Surface features aren't in control. A surface high can't block anything. Surface features, including highs and lows, are the result of the upper levels. Look at this 500mb chart. We're pushing 560dm with a vorticity packet and shortwave headed for the Lakes. That absolutely can send a strong primary to southern Ontario. We're lucky we have a good cold airmass in place, otherwise this would be ice to rain.

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

Anyone able to post QPF

From another site..mixing only gets up as far as Cape may

[SACRUS]

 

12Z Euro AI AIFS  good

total QPF - storm

 

[Jt17]

 
12Z Euro AI AIFS  good
total QPF - storm
 

1.1 had fallen by 126 and it just broke above 20 degrees in the city at 23. I'm guessing it's no changeover. Can't really tell on pivotal


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[David-LI]

3 minutes ago, BoulderWX said:

Anyone able to post QPF

AI Euro 12z

[Tatamy]

1 minute ago, Jt17 said:

1.1 had fallen by 126 and it just broke above 20 degrees in the city at 23. I'm guessing it's no changeover. Can't really tell on pivotal


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No mixing issues shown on this model in the NY Metro area.

[MJO812]

2 minutes ago, David-LI said:

AI Euro 12z

Way more with ratios 

[Jt17]

Way more with ratios 

Looked super cold throughout. Would be a classic!


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[allgame830]

3 minutes ago, David-LI said:

AI Euro 12z

AND THATS JUST THE 10:1..... IMAGINE KUCHERA! LOL 

[SnoSki14]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Way more with ratios 

This model did really well inside 5 days with the last system and its performance is beating the regular op models 

[Brian5671]

4 minutes ago, David-LI said:

AI Euro 12z

That enhanced stripe kissing LI is likely the coastal impacts...

[allgame830]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Way more with ratios 

GO AHEAD AND POST IT ANT! LOL 

[jdj5211]

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[EastonSN+]

Why is this the only forum that won't post Kutchera lol.

[MJO812]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Why is this the only forum that won't post Kutchera lol.

I always do 

[David-LI]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Why is this the only forum that won't post Kutchera lol.

I see it often being posted here. Not all of us have premium subscription for the maps.

[SnoSki14]

Just now, EastonSN+ said:

Why is this the only forum that won't post Kutchera lol.

That's only for weenies on FB & Twitter

[EastonSN+]

Just now, SnoSki14 said:

That's only for weenies on FB & Twitter

And other forums.

It is useful when sleet is involved.

[Brian5671]

3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Why is this the only forum that won't post Kutchera lol.

they are mostly garbage

[Nibor]

[WeatherGeek2025]

16 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

12Z Euro AI AIFS  good

total QPF - storm

 

i think this is the best model

[EastonSN+]

3 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

they are mostly garbage

What do we use when sleet is involved though? 10 to 1 is useless for those situations.

[forkyfork]

1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

What do we use when sleet is involved though? 10 to 1 is useless for those situations.

pivotal 10:1 maps exclude sleet

[donsutherland1]

9 minutes ago, jdj5211 said:

.

Do you have a link to these maps?

[Jt17]

So euro kind of stuck with idea for 0z and 6z and AI headed more toward GFS?


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[MJO812]

Euro is all day Sunday into early Monday morning. It changes to sleet at the coast but not after alot of snow.

[WeatherGeek2025]

can someone post euro ai kuchera clown map

[Neblizzard]

4 minutes ago, Nibor said:

Powder keg 

[kat5hurricane]

1 hour ago, Winterweatherlover said:

I can't remember the last time there was such a wide swath of heavy snow. This feels like a 90s storm again.

PDII was kind of like this but a little less coverage than the models are currently printing out. These long duration storms are my favorite, nice cold storm with steady 1"/hr rates for many hours.