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Winter Wizard

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About Winter Wizard

  • Birthday 12/28/1996

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Annapolis, MD

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  1. Winter Wizard

    2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

    Writing was on the wall last night for this to underperform. The Ohio Valley shortwave was much farther south and less robust than CAMs guidance showed 24 hours ago. GFS actually caught on to this first followed by the HRRR and finally the NAM. Persistent cloud cover has greatly limited our instability - CAPE is less than 1000 J/KG for most N of DC at the moment. For southern Virginia, though, where there has been clearing, CAPE is over 3000 J/KG and there is sufficient speed and directional shear to support isolated supercells. However, the total coverage will be far less than what we expected 24 hours ago. Unfortunately, this scenario plays out time and time again in this region. I was really looking forward to chasing today after work, oh well
  2. Winter Wizard

    2019 East & Central Pacific Season

    Flossie and Erick have weakened quite a bit over the last 24 hours as they've moved into cooler waters and an area of higher shear. Erick should weaken to a tropical storm as it moves south of Hawaii and will bring increased surf and heavy rain to the Big Island. As for Flossie, ensemble guidance has been wavering, but takes it much closer to the Big Island, posing a more significant threat.
  3. Winter Wizard

    July Discobs 2019

    It’s 10:12 PM and we sit at 89/80 here in Downtown Annapolis...good for a heat index of 106. Gross.
  4. Winter Wizard

    July Discobs 2019

    The rain has been persistent over Annapolis with that blob over the Chesapeake.
  5. Winter Wizard

    July Banter 2019

    Hey everyone, I just got my degree in Meteorology from Penn State (still waiting on my red tag though) and moved down to Annapolis for a job, so I'm in MA forum territory now. Looking forward to posting more in this subforum and hoping for some severe weather this summer and hopefully an epic winter.
  6. Winter Wizard

    Getting Into a Career in Meteorology Without a Degree?

    I can tell you as someone you just graduated with a B.S. in Meteorology and just got a job that your last sentence couldn't be further from the truth. Your options with a Bachelor's are limited but there are plenty of companies in the private sector that hire people straight out of college. There are many different pathways you could go down if you want to pursue a Meteorology degree, but if you want to go the straight up forecasting route, you need to be aware that you will likely be working overnights, weekends and certain holidays. The pay also will likely be below your expectations. The work can also be pretty tedious at times. I would recommend going into straight up operational forecasting if that's your passion, but there are more lucrative opportunities elsewhere. Without disclosing too much information, I will be working in the private sector for a company that deals with weather risk management by combining my Meteo degree with a business minor. Going this route or supplementing with a programming background will open up many more doors aside from being just a forecaster. So my advice going into college will be to see if you can handle the math and the physics because they are intense and weed out a lot of people. Get involved in extracurriculars in college and get at least one internship while you're in college. Along with supplementing a meteo degree with another skill, this will make you far more marketable without needing to go to grad school. Going to grad school is only necessary if you want to do research or work for the government.
  7. Winter Wizard

    March 3-4, 2019 Snow/Rain Event

    Rain in Wilmington
  8. Winter Wizard

    March 3-4, 2019 Snow/Rain Event

    Sleet line is crashing back southward...snowing in North Wilmington.
  9. Winter Wizard

    March 3-4, 2019 Snow/Rain Event

    And now we’ve flipped over to snow in Wilmington
  10. Winter Wizard

    March 3-4, 2019 Snow/Rain Event

    Where in DE are you exactly?
  11. Winter Wizard

    March 3-4, 2019 Snow/Rain Event

    It’s rain to start in North Wilmington.
  12. Winter Wizard

    March 3-4, 2019 Snow/Rain Event

    I was honestly shocked to wake up to a WSW with expected snowfall of 7” in Wilmington. Certainly we are going to waste QPF at the start of the event to rain or white rain, as will Center City. That being said, frontogenetic forcing on hi-res guidance seems impressive all the way down to I-95 and would support bands of an inch per hour or greater if we flip to snow. Sticking with my forecast yesterday of 2-4” for I-95 and 4-8” for everyone N and W of Route 1.
  13. Winter Wizard

    March 3-4, 2019 Snow/Rain Event

    I’d go with 4-8” for everyone N and W of route 1 and the Raritan essentially. 2-4” from Sandy Hook to Toms River to Wilmington, DE including the Center City. 1-2” for the C and D Canal to LBI and nothing really below that.
  14. Winter Wizard

    March 3-4, 2019 Snow/Rain Event

    Which also poses the risk of suppression for our area, especially in the far northern and western suburbs. The downside of a system farther SE is that it will be weaker, limiting your max snowfall potential.
  15. Winter Wizard

    March 3-4, 2019 Snow/Rain Event

    Major shift SE on tonight’s Euro, most of the NW Philly suburbs look good for 6-10”.