Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/25 - 1/26

[SACRUS]

 

[WeatherGeek2025]

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Nam looks really good on Sunday.  Lets see how much warmth comes into the area.

Mix line moving faster but we should still thump nicely first

[Stormlover74]

I think everything just moved up a few hours 

[MJO812]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Mix line moving faster but we should still thump nicely first

Its 15 degrees in NYC during this time.

[Wxbear25]

the NAM SHOULD be an improvement over 6z, the s/w is flatter over the ARKLATEX region, so it should help to dampen the strengthening of the initial low... But then again, I thought 00z was an improvement early on too, so yeah...

[Jt17]

the NAM SHOULD be an improvement over 6z, the s/w is flatter over the ARKLATEX region, so it should help to dampen the strengthening of the initial low... But then again, I thought 00z was an improvement early on too, so yeah...

It's a big improvement


.

[Stormlover74]

Going to flip to sleet between 2 and 3pm

[SACRUS]

 

[MJO812]

[Stormlover74]

Hmm wait mix line went back south at 21z!

[BoulderWX]

NAM will be a much better initial thump before sleet - a lot more QPF overall too

[NJwx85]

The NAM is improved. Mix line stalls South of the city.

[snywx]

1 hour ago, Nibor said:

Someone along the 84 corridor is gonna get over 20”

I’m thinking 12-18” up this way along 84. I’m sure there will be a few 20+ spots 

[Stormlover74]

Wow

[SleetStormNJ]

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Hmm wait mix line went back south at 21z!

It will be a Sleet Line Tango tomorrow folks!

[SACRUS]

[Stormlover74]

Not sure what to make of that. 540 line actually went north a bit but mix is way south

[kat5hurricane]

That's a really big thump on the nam before any mixing 

[MJO812]

NYC stays in the teens on the Nam on Sunday. Mix line stays below NYC.

Over a foot of snow

[NJwx85]

00z Monday, still all snow from NYC North. Mixing gets into SI and Southern Brooklyn but it’s very close.

[snowman19]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Not sure what to make of that. 540 line actually went north a bit but mix is way south

I can’t get Pivotal to load right now. Is the 3K NAM similar? 

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, snowman19 said:

I can’t get Pivotal to load right now. Is the 3K NAM similar? 

More mixing

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

NYC stays in the teens on the Nam on Sunday. Mix line stays below NYC.

Over a foot of snow

[SACRUS]

 

1/23 12z NAM total QPF

 

Total snow / sleet

 

[NJwx85]

Warmest panel is 03z. Sleet briefly into NYC, then dry slot.

[WeatherGeek2025]

overall Nam looks way better.

[Brasiluvsnow]

At least the Nam held serve ,,,,,actually it looked better as bigger thump of snow up front and the mix line stopped moving north,,,,,,,qpf improved also

[BoulderWX]

Much better run - still going to be a huge drop off somewhere around central NJ

[EastonSN+]

Wow was not expecting that on the NAM good run. Watching out west on that run you can see the storm seemingly being pushed east faster which may help with the primary. 

Fast flow to the rescue?

Forky right yesterday?