Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/25 - 1/26

[NEG NAO]

who else thinks this is too far north ? Transfer is too the NJ coast

 

[wthrmn654]

If they were to change totals i would go with 8-14 for long Island area to cover all possibilities

[Wxoutlooksblog]

While there may be some similarities, the 2/13/14 storm didn't have a rapidly northeastward advancing warmer layer at 700mb. This one does.

WX/PT

[Prue11]

1 minute ago, NEG NAO said:

who else thinks this is too far north ? Transfer is too the NJ coast

 

Jim cantore just mentioned this and was why he was concerned now with ZR in the city an south and east

[wthrmn654]

And with that we all missed updated warning. 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
119 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-250800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.260125T0800Z-260126T2300Z/
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western
Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Southern
Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest
Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-
Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
119 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and sleet expected. The snow is expected to mix
  with or change to sleet Sunday afternoon into the evening. Total
  snow and sleet accumulations between 8 and 12 inches. A brief
  changeover to light freezing rain along with a few hundredths of
  ice may occur Sunday night. The precipitation may go back to light
  snow late Sunday night. Isolated wind gusts around 35 mph possible
  Sunday afternoon and evening.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From 3 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Roads will become snow covered and hazardous.
  Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing
  snow.

[snywx]

3 minutes ago, Astoriaweather said:

Taken from Mid-Atlantic forum. But this looks great, if it were to verify even with a few inches shaved off.

That’s till 8p Sunday night. I’m sure it’s still snowing atleast up here in the HV 

[weatherpruf]

1 minute ago, Prue11 said:

Jim cantore just mentioned this and was why he was concerned now with ZR in the city an south and east

this just keeps getting worse. it is reminding me of jan 94. iirc we expected lots of snow then too; didn't get it, but got the ice.

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, snywx said:

That’s till 8p Sunday night. I’m sure it’s still snowing atleast up here in the HV 

Totals too high along NJ coast and Philly and points south

[Winterweatherlover]

Just now, wthrmn654 said:

And with that we all missed updated warning. 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service New York NY
119 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-250800-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0001.260125T0800Z-260126T2300Z/
Eastern Passaic-Hudson-Western Bergen-Eastern Bergen-Western
Essex-Eastern Essex-Western Union-Eastern Union-Southern
Westchester-New York (Manhattan)-Bronx-Richmond (Staten Island)-
Kings (Brooklyn)-Northwest Suffolk-Northeast Suffolk-Southwest
Suffolk-Southeast Suffolk-Northern Queens-Northern Nassau-
Southern Queens-Southern Nassau-
119 PM EST Sat Jan 24 2026

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM
EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow and sleet expected. The snow is expected to mix
  with or change to sleet Sunday afternoon into the evening. Total
  snow and sleet accumulations between 8 and 12 inches. A brief
  changeover to light freezing rain along with a few hundredths of
  ice may occur Sunday night. The precipitation may go back to light
  snow late Sunday night. Isolated wind gusts around 35 mph possible
  Sunday afternoon and evening.

* WHERE...Portions of northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

* WHEN...From 3 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Roads will become snow covered and hazardous.
  Visibilities may drop below 1/4 mile due to falling and blowing
  snow.

Seems more reasonable.

[Snowlover11]

Uptons updated warning still calling for 10-16” here. Down from 12-16”

mentioned a possible change to sleet towards the end.

[wthrmn654]

What's odd, Upton ice map is less then what it had been last night or this morning I do believe

 

[nycsnow]

Just now, weatherpruf said:

no, they are just late to the game. i'll bet these amounts go down later. still a dangerous storm. 

Nah prob stick with that. Pretty good bet unless they only used NAM

[sussexcountyobs]

If it remains clear after sunset for awhile and winds die down. We can be looking at snow starting before sunrise with a temp around 0°F here.

[NorthShoreWx]

26 minutes ago, weatherpruf said:

it was more of an ice storm, with the few inches freezing solid, you could not get the ice off car windows it was too thick. with no home depots around yet, you could not get salt, table salt, kitty litter or sand. i got stuck in a parking lot on the ice spinning in circles and had to be pulled off by a passing tow truck. 

That might have been around January 8 94

[Winterweatherlover]

I think ZR is a real factor if the upper levels warm and the secondary is too close to the coast. It probably would be at the tail end but even .1 qpf of zr would just make things even more of a mess.

[MJO812]

[Astoriaweather]

6 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

Totals too high along NJ coast and Philly and points south

Maybe (and I think NYC only getting 5 to 8). But interesting that even LWX in DC-Baltimore sticking with 6-10 down there.  If DC gets 6 to 10, think there would be no way NJ and NYC somehow get less.  Basically, all the NWS offices staying aggressive and fairly coordinated.  Maybe they all bust. Maybe there is a reason they are all so aggressive.  I don't know, but it's almost game time. Maybe the NAM comes back a bit south this afternoon and evening.

[jm1220]

3 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

I think ZR is a real factor if the upper levels warm and the secondary is too close to the coast. It probably would be at the tail end but even .1 qpf of zr would just make things even more of a mess.

Would just make it a gigantic glacier. Even if we have a period of freezing drizzle at the end it will fuse everything together into concrete. 

[kat5hurricane]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

They keep going lower and lower ever since yesterday as predicted by a lot of us, I still think they might go lower.

[NorthShoreWx]

14 minutes ago, psv88 said:

No 

North Shore local jack, although NWNJ/OC did even better.  We had over a foot followed by a little freezing rain and a bonus inch on the backend.  South shore flipped to plain rain.

[weatherpruf]

7 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

That might have been around January 8 94

i remember it being around mlk day, as i was off.

[Prue11]

Does anyone think outside of southeast LI anywhere will go above freezing during this storm?

[jm1220]

Just now, Prue11 said:

Does anyone think outside of southeast LI anyone will go above freezing during this storm?

The posters from coastal NJ south of maybe Asbury Park yes since there's an easterly flow established, otherwise no.

[NorthShoreWx]

44 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Yep, 2/13/14 for example I don’t think was a rapidly intensifying coastal and there was widespread 10-14” amounts. 

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

948 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014

.SYNOPSIS...

A NOR-EASTER WILL IMPACT THE TRI-STATE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE EXITING ON FRIDAY. A WEAKER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN SLOWLY BUILDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/...

AS OF 9 AM...A BAND OF VERY HEAVY SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO 6 INCHES PER HOUR HAS OVERSPREAD COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE REGION...COLLOCATED WITH AN INTENSE FRONTOGENETIC BAND LIFTING NORTH FROM CENTRAL NJ AND OFF THE OCEAN. REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES IN 30 MINUTES HAVE BEEN COMING INTO THE OFFICE UNDER THIS BAND. IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE COAST...RESULTING IN NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

THIS HEAVY SNOW BAND WILL CONTINUE TO WORK NORTHWARD INTO THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT THROUGH 11 AM...COMBINED WITH 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTS...WITH RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS. AROUND 1 FT OF SNOW LIKELY FROM MID MORNING THROUGH MID AFTERNOON ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH THIS BAND.

AT THE SAME TIME...WATCHING TRANSITION LINE TO SLEET AND RAIN CREEPING UP THE COAST...CURRENTLY JUST SOUTH OF LI/NYC. THIS SHOULD START WORKING INTO THE SHORELINE OF LI/NYC BY AROUND 9 AM...AND THEN GRADUALLY PROGRESSING NORTH AND WESTWARD THROUGH THE MID TO LATE MORNING. CHANGEOVER LINE WILL SLOW DOWN AS IT TRIES TO PROGRESS NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR...BUT MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL FRONTOGENETIC BAND IS NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. 

OTHER FEATURE OF NOTE IS DRY SLOT WORKING NORTH THROUGH THE DELMARVA AND SOUTHERN NJ THIS MORNING...WHICH SHOULD WORK INTO LI/NYC AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NE NJ BY AROUND MIDDAY...AND THEN INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND CT BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AND THEN NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. ONLY LIGHT SHOWERY PRECIP EXPECTED UNDER THIS DRY SLOT FOR REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...UNTIL DEFORMATION BANDING/INSTABILITY PRECIP STARTS WORKING IN FROM THE SW AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW IN THEEVENING.

 

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...

THE TIMING OF CHANGEOVER BACK TO SNOW THIS EVENING AND WHERE THE HEAVIEST AXIS OF DEFORMATION ZONE PCPN SETS UP REMAINS A WILD CARD...BUT EARLY INDICATION ARE THAT IT MAY SET UP A BIT FARTHER EAST ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CWA. THE 00Z AND 06Z NAM SHOWS

A ROBUST AXIS OF PCPN WITH OVER A HALF INCH OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT.

ISOLD TSTMS POSSIBLE TNGT. FIRST CHCS WITH THETAE ADVECTION...SECOND ROUND WITH H5 LOW PASSING OVER THE CWA.

WINDS STILL ON TRACK FOR 45 MPH GUSTS ACROSS ERN ZONES WITH A 970S LOW NEAR MARTHAS VINEYARD AT 6Z FRI. ISOLD HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS AFTN WITH A 60 KT NELY LLJET AT H925.

[WeatherGeek2025]

how did the euro run? I was at the shopping center. I'm driving right now.

[psv88]

5 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

179 

FXUS61 KOKX 131448

AFDOKX

 

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY

948 AM EST THU FEB 13 2014

 

.SYNOPSIS...

A NOR-EASTER WILL IMPACT THE TRI-STATE REGION THROUGH TONIGHT

BEFORE EXITING ON FRIDAY. A WEAKER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES

ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE THEN

SLOWLY BUILDS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT

WEEK. ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION

TUESDAY.

 

&&

 

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL NOON TODAY/...

AS OF 9 AM...A BAND OF VERY HEAVY SNOW WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 3 TO

6 INCHES PER HOUR HAS OVERSPREAD COASTAL PORTIONS OF THE

REGION...COLLOCATED WITH AN INTENSE FRONTOGENETIC BAND LIFTING

NORTH FROM CENTRAL NJ AND OFF THE OCEAN. REPORTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES

IN 30 MINUTES HAVE BEEN COMING INTO THE OFFICE UNDER THIS BAND. IN

ADDITION...WIND GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE DEVELOPING ALONG THE

COAST...RESULTING IN NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY AT TIMES.

 

THIS HEAVY SNOW BAND WILL CONTINUE TO WORK NORTHWARD INTO THE

LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT THROUGH 11

AM...COMBINED WITH 25 TO 35 MPH GUSTS...WITH RAPIDLY DETERIORATING

CONDITIONS. AROUND 1 FT OF SNOW LIKELY FROM MID MORNING THROUGH

MID AFTERNOON ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH THIS BAND.

 

AT THE SAME TIME...WATCHING TRANSITION LINE TO SLEET AND RAIN

CREEPING UP THE COAST...CURRENTLY JUST SOUTH OF LI/NYC. THIS

SHOULD START WORKING INTO THE SHORELINE OF LI/NYC BY AROUND 9

AM...AND THEN GRADUALLY PROGRESSING NORTH AND WESTWARD THROUGH THE

MID TO LATE MORNING. CHANGEOVER LINE WILL SLOW DOWN AS IT TRIES TO

PROGRESS NORTH ACROSS THE INTERIOR...BUT MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL

FRONTOGENETIC BAND IS NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. 

 

OTHER FEATURE OF NOTE IS DRY SLOT WORKING NORTH THROUGH THE

DELMARVA AND SOUTHERN NJ THIS MORNING...WHICH SHOULD WORK INTO

LI/NYC AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NE NJ BY AROUND MIDDAY...AND THEN

INTO SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND CT BY EARLY

AFTERNOON...AND THEN NORTH OF THE REGION BY MID AFTERNOON. ONLY

LIGHT SHOWERY PRECIP EXPECTED UNDER THIS DRY SLOT FOR REMAINDER OF

THE AFTERNOON...UNTIL DEFORMATION BANDING/INSTABILITY PRECIP

STARTS WORKING IN FROM THE SW AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW IN THE

EVENING.

 

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA.

 

&&

 

.SHORT TERM /NOON TODAY THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...

THE TIMING OF CHANGEOVER BACK TO SNOW THIS EVENING AND WHERE THE

HEAVIEST AXIS OF DEFORMATION ZONE PCPN SETS UP REMAINS A WILD

CARD...BUT EARLY INDICATION ARE THAT IT MAY SET UP A BIT FARTHER

EAST ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE CWA. THE 00Z AND 06Z NAM SHOWS

A ROBUST AXIS OF PCPN WITH OVER A HALF INCH OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT.

 

ISOLD TSTMS POSSIBLE TNGT. FIRST CHCS WITH THETAE

ADVECTION...SECOND ROUND WITH H5 LOW PASSING OVER THE CWA.

 

WINDS STILL ON TRACK FOR 45 MPH GUSTS ACROSS ERN ZONES WITH A 970S

LOW NEAR MARTHAS VINEYARD AT 6Z FRI. ISOLD HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE

THROUGH THIS AFTN WITH A 60 KT NELY LLJET AT H925.

 

DRY AND WINDY ON FRI WITH GUSTS IN THE 35-40 MPH RANGE.

 

&&

 

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH THE MID ATLANTIC STATES FRIDAY 

NIGHT...EMERGES OFF THE COAST SATURDAY MORNING...AND PASSES WELL 

SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A SURFACE TROUGH WILL 

EXTEND NORTHWARD FROM THE CENTER AND PASS THROUGH THE TRI STATE 

AREA. CAPPED POPS AT CHANCE FOR NOW...WITH GENERALLY HIGHER CHANCES 

OF PCPN OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. PCPN TYPE MAINLY 

SNOW...BUT A RAIN/SNOW MIX COULD DEVELOP IN ANY REMAINING PCPN 

DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON OVER THE SE ZONES WITH BOUNDARY LAYER 

WARMING. POTENTIAL LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WITH THIS SYSTEM. WITH 

THIS EVENT...MODELS HAVE TRENDED TOWARD THE ECMWF SOLUTION OF A 

STRONGER LOW CENTER PASSING TO THE SOUTH AND A WEAKER LOW TO THE 

NORTH. THE ECMWF ALSO BRINGS THE LOW CENTER CLOSEST TO THE COAST AS 

IT PASSES BY...SO WILL NEED TO SEE IF THE OTHER MODELS TREND TOWARDS 

ITS CLOSER/WETTER SOLUTION AND IF THIS COULD BE MORE THAN A LIGHT 

SNOWFALL POTENTIAL. 

 

HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS IN FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY WITH 

DRY WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. TIMING DIFFERENCES STILL 

EXIST AMONG THE MODELS REGARDING THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. 

HAVEN'T CHANGED ALL THAT MUCH FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST...SO WILL 

MAINTAIN CHC POPS AND MIXED PCPN MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE 

AND NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THEN FOLLOWS ON WEDNESDAY.

 

&&

 

.AVIATION /15Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...

...HIGH IMPACT WINTER STORM THROUGH TONIGHT...

 

LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING IFR OR LOWER CONDITIONS THROUGH MOST 

OF THE PERIOD. 

 

LOW-MOD CONFIDENCE WITH PCPN TYPE AND TIMING AFTER 15Z AS SNOW

MIXES WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN...POSSIBLY GOING OVER TO ALL

RAIN...POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET AS FAR WEST AS THE NYC TERMINALS

IN THE AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST TO NORTH WIND INCREASE INTO THE AFTN TO

15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT. WIND BECOMES NORTHWEST TO WEST

AFTER 03Z 15 TO 25 KT GUSTING UP TO 35 KT.

 

SNOWFALL TOTALS THROUGH 00Z FRI...COASTAL 5-10 INCHES. INLAND 7-12

INCHES. 0.05 TO 0.10 INCHES OF ICE IS POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON

FROM KEWR TO KTEB TO KHPN TO KBDR.

 

TONIGHT PRECIPITATION TRANSITIONS BACK TO ALL SNOW...WITH IFR TO 

LIFR CONDITIONS. ADDITIONAL 1-3 INCHES AT THE COAST...AND 4-8 INCHES 

INLAND. THE SNOW WILL BE TAPERING OFF AND ENDING 09Z THROUGH 12Z 

WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 20 

KT WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT.

 

     NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

 

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN 

BE FOUND AT: HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

 

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: PCPN MIX OF SLEET...RAIN...AND SNOW THROUGH

18Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE

CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS.  

 

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: PCPN MIX OF SLEET...RAIN...AND SNOW THROUGH

18Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE

CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS.

 

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: PCPN MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW THROUGH 18Z. PERIOD

OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER

COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS.

 

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: PCPN MIX OF SLEET AND SNOW THROUGH 18Z. PERIOD

OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER

COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS.

 

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: HEAVY SNOW POSSIBLE THROUGH 16Z. PCPN MIX 

OF SLEET AND SNOW THROUGH 18Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH THE

AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS.

 

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: HEAVY SNOW PSBL THROUGH 16Z. PCPN MIX OF

SLEET...RAIN...AND SNOW THROUGH 20Z. PERIOD OF -RA/DZ PSBL THROUGH

THE AFTN. TIMING OF PCPN TYPE CHANGE OVER COULD DIFFER 1-2 HOURS.

 

.OUTLOOK FOR 15Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

.FRI...VFR WITH STRONG W WINDS EARLY. POTENTIAL FOR MVFR/IFR IN SN 

SHOWERS FRI EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. WEST WIND AROUND 15 KT WITH 

GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

 

.SAT...CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING WITH MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS. 

SNOW ENDING AROUND 17Z WITH IMPROVING CONDITIONS. NW WINDS AROUND 15 

KT WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25 KT.

 

.SUN-MON...MAINLY VFR. PCPN PSBL BY MON EVENING BRINGING SUB-VFR

CONDITIONS.

 

&&

 

.MARINE...

GALES WINDS DEVELOPING THIS MORNING. ISOLD STORM FORCE GUSTS

POSSIBLE ON THE OCEAN. THE GALES CONTINUE TNGT AS THE LOW PASSES

NE OF THE WATERS...AND FINALLY WIND DOWN BY LATE IN THE DAY FRI.

 

WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE FRIDAY NIGHT. ALL BUT THE EASTERN OCEAN 

WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA...AND REMAIN 

BELOW IT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS THEN INCREASE 

SATURDAY AFTERNOON AS AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE PASSES WELL OFFSHORE. 

SCA FOR ALL WATERS PROBABLE DURING SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

WINDS DIMINISH ONCE AGAIN SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS 

TOWARD THE WATERS.

 

&&

 

.HYDROLOGY...

AROUND 1.5 TO 1.75 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIP IS EXPECTED

WITH THE UPCOMING STORM. SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.

 

WHILE MOST OF THE AREAS WILL RECEIVE SNOW...EASTERN PORTIONS OF

LI AND CT COULD RECEIVE A PERIOD OF MODERATE RAINFALL RESULTING

IN AREAS OF MINOR FLOODING...PARTICULARLY WHERE SNOW AND ICE BANKS

HAVE LIMITED DRAINAGE.

 

LIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. 

NO HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS ARE ANTICIPATED DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

 

&&

 

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON

FOR HIGH SURF OF 6 TO 10 FT AT THE OCEAN FACING SHORELINES.

 

MAIN TIME PERIOD OF CONCERN FOR LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOODING

IS THE THIS EVE/TONIGHT HIGH TIDE CYCLE...WITH GENERALLY 2 TO 2 1/2

FT OF STORM SURGE. LOCALIZED MINOR COASTAL FLOOD IMPACTS ARE

LIKELY ACROSS THE NORTH SHORE OF WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND AND

TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND WITH 1 TO 3 FT WAVE ACTION.

ELSEWHERE...LOCALIZED IMPACTS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE

BAYS OF LONG ISLAND AND NY HARBOR. SOME OF THE SOUTH SHORE BAYS

ARE FROZEN...COMPLICATING THE THREAT.

 

&&

 

.EQUIPMENT...

DUE TO INTERFERENCE ISSUES WITH THE U.S. COAST GUARD EMERGENCY

BROADCAST CHANNEL...THE NEW YORK CITY NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER

RADIO STATION KWO35 IS OUT OF SERVICE.

 

DURING THE TIME...THE TRANSMITTER MAY BE RETURNED TO SERVICE

INTERMITTENTLY FOR USE OF THE NOAA ALL HAZARDS WEATHER RADIO

DURING POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATIONS...FOR ROUTINE

WEEKLY TEST OF THE WARNING SYSTEM...AND TO DETERMINE IF THE

INTERFERENCE ISSUE HAS BEEN RESOLVED.

 

&&

 

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CT...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR CTZ005>012.

NY...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR NYZ067>075-

     078>081-176>179.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 6 PM EST FRIDAY 

     FOR NYZ080-081-178-179.

NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR NJZ002-004-006-

     103>108.

MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ335-338-345-355.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ330-340-350-353.

 

&&

 

$$

SYNOPSIS...JMC/JC

NEAR TERM...

SHORT TERM...JMC

LONG TERM...JC

AVIATION...BC/SEARS

MARINE...JMC/JC

HYDROLOGY...JMC/JC

TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

EQUIPMENT...

Still the heaviest snow I’ve ever seen. 5” an hour, flakes the size of actual pancakes 

[allgame830]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

how did the euro run? I was at the shopping center. I'm driving right now.

Pretty much the same as previous run

[psv88]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

how did the euro run? I was at the shopping center. I'm driving right now.

Tick snowier

[nycsnow]

Somehow cmc ensembles ran but anyways their a goooood hit

[EastonSN+]

19 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

That's the first time I have ever seen then update their maps twice in 2 hours lol.