February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!

[TSSN+]

We take 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

We take 

Trended better. We'll see how long this lasts

[NorthArlington101]

[Heisy]

It seems the PV split is happening, Smarch? Others understand this stuff more than I do

[T. August]

DC gets close to 4” on Kuchera. Smoked (relatively)

[JenkinsJinkies]

1 minute ago, Heisy said:

It seems the PV split is happening, Smarch? Others understand this stuff more than I do

Last time there was measurable snow in December there was measurable snow the following March.

[mitchnick]

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Trended better. We'll see how long this lasts

Congrats Randy. Bullseye at 96hrs. 

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

Congrats Randy. Bullseye at 96hrs. 

Popping the champagne right now.

[frd]

3 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said:

Last time there was measurable snow in December there was measurable snow the following March.

This might be the March that delivers. Will have a better idea of that in a couple weeks. OMG to last time in 2018 , wow !!!

[wasnow215]

And the GFS has been so good too!;)

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, wasnow215 said:

And the GFS has been so good too!;)

Deadly.  Lock it up.

[stormtracker]

Canadian has it so far...let's see what happens if/when it gets to us

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z GFS

[Ji]

Trended better. We'll see how long this lasts

Till 12:45 pm

[Paleocene]

Cmc repeats today's storm lol

[mitchnick]

11 minutes ago, frd said:

This might be the March that delivers. Will have a better idea of that in a couple weeks. OMG to last time in 2018 , wow !!!

Fwiw, Cfs2 is really wet in the east for March. If we can get some of that to come in before the end of the month, we'll be tired of shoveling.

[mitchnick]

Ukie's a nyet

[stormtracker]

6 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Cmc repeats today's storm lol

Shocked

[stormtracker]

13 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Ukie's a nyet

Don't worry, the Euro will save us.

[Bob Chill]

13 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Ukie's a nyet

Fwiw, ukie was abysmal with the current storm. I mean absolutely terrible. Euro/ai appear to be doing the best (shocker lol), cmc #2, gfs/ai #3. Imho, based on what I've seen so far this season, you can pretty much hug the euro/ai combo inside of 7 days and use the cmc for confirmation. Gfs seems to only add uncertainty into the mix

[rjvanals]

I’m fine with the Canadian and UKMET keeping things south of us—once a system gets north, it rarely comes back south

[LeesburgWx]

3 minutes ago, rjvanals said:

I’m fine with the Canadian and UKMET keeping things south of us—once a system gets north, it rarely comes back south

Except this weekend’s storm

[Ji]

Except this weekend’s storm

And every other storm since 2022

[87storms]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

And every other storm since 2022

It’s wild seeing Charlotte getting a flush hit right now while we can only muster storms that are majority sleet. There’s something truly off with this pattern for big snows in the MA.

[87storms]

15 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Fwiw, ukie was abysmal with the current storm. I mean absolutely terrible. Euro/ai appear to be doing the best (shocker lol), cmc #2, gfs/ai #3. Imho, based on what I've seen so far this season, you can pretty much hug the euro/ai combo inside of 7 days and use the cmc for confirmation. Gfs seems to only add uncertainty into the mix

Seems like there’s two winning teams for this current storm…those that are closest to the ULL passage (eg, Charlotte) which we needed here and those in the coastal sections closest to the redeveloping surface low. Definitely some dryslotting in between.

[Kay]

2 minutes ago, 87storms said:

It’s wild seeing Charlotte getting a flush hit right now while we can only muster storms that are majority sleet. There’s something truly off with this pattern for big snows in the MA.

?

[87storms]

1 minute ago, Kay said:

?

Were you out of town for the last storm?

[snowfan]

6 minutes ago, 87storms said:

It’s wild seeing Charlotte getting a flush hit right now while we can only muster storms that are majority sleet. There’s something truly off with this pattern for big snows in the MA.

Lol…now you’re just making things up. You do recall that not only did many get 6+ before the flip to sleet last Sunday, a good chunk of the area had a 6-12 powder hit last January, too. 

[Kay]

Just now, 87storms said:

Were you out of town for the last storm?

Haha no. But did you measure? Majority snow.

[aldie 22]

5 hours ago, Ji said:

No you don’t. They might be in dry slot hell lol

You sure?