Jump to content

poolz1

Members
  • Content count

    928
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    HGR
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Boonsboro, MD

Recent Profile Visitors

1,597 profile views
  1. poolz1

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    Yep...splitting hairs on a 46 day lead is probably pointless as it will change by Thursday. Check out the control run....wants to put a lot of snow cover down across the CONUS. Let's pick apart the control run now!
  2. poolz1

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    Idk....I thought the weeklies looked fine thru the end of the run. First week in Nov looks classic....the last week in this cycle shows the same pattern just washed out...as an ens would be that far out. We also need to start a digital snow thread....per the 00z gfs. I do like seeing some coastal storms starting to show up.
  3. poolz1

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    Winter preview?
  4. poolz1

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    Yep...another big difference between 02 and now is the presence of much gradient in the Pac....in all of the important regions. I see yellows and oranges in rights places but I think lack of gradient between +/- SST anoms is also key if we want features to show up and be prominent in the right spots. Did some reading a few weeks ago on the Walker Cell and how the gradient in the Pac during an enso event can affect the cell's circulation....not just the strength of the enso but the gradient involved. I dont know enough about the subject to comment further...so there's that. I am curious tho as to how this plays out....
  5. poolz1

    Winter 2018-19 Is Coming

    I know your overall feeling toward long range models and rightfully so...what is interesting is the pretty much unanimous idea of -epo. A good sign having it show up as we get deeper into fall. I hope the other areas of HLB being shown start to show up in a regular fashion as we head into November. Get a jump start on an epic winter! Snow on Thanksgiving? We can dream.... Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  6. poolz1

    October Discobs Thread

    Noticeable change in humidity the past 20 minutes. I have to admit....I rather be engulfed in tropical rains right now. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  7. poolz1

    October Discobs Thread

    Yep...so close to scoring with this one. SE of 95 looks to be in for a real deluge. Its almost painful to watch the radar down in VA....
  8. poolz1

    October Discobs Thread

    Completely agree...western side is drying up as the front pushes in. I was hoping that the circulation would hold the front up just a bit and allow a more nw movement of the rains. Radar actually looked like that was happening an hour or so ago. I love tropical rains but they are so rare....out this way especially. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  9. poolz1

    October Discobs Thread

    Pretty nice cluster of tropical rains developing and pushing north toward central/western areas. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
  10. poolz1

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    That western eyewall is a beast! Panama City may escape the worst of the surge but they are about to get clocked. eta....looks like it tightened up a bit a landfall. Perfect eyewall. Really is unreal to watch.
  11. poolz1

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    933mb 145mph Possible this could be sub 930 at landfall....impressive/scary
  12. poolz1

    2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season Tracking Thread

    Thurs afternoon according to the gfs... PWATs 2-2.5" Dews low-mid 70s Not done with the soup yet I guess...
×