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poolz1

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About poolz1

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    HGR
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Boonsboro, MD

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  1. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    3 days ago we were touting a -EPO with an Arctic express and worried about suppression in 15 Days. Now we are worried about a Pac flood in 15 days....and then extrapolating the crap pattern until mid Jan...and some contemplating punting Jan all together. Then factor in the Arctic Melting Index and we will probably all burn alive. lol only in the MA.
  2. poolz1

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    Latest Flood Watch upped amounts to widespread 1.5 - 2.5" with local amounts of 3-4".
  3. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Maybe it's weenie logic but it seems to me we have received 3 major EC storms in 30 days. All 3 have been moisture laden and had strong ULL support passing south of us. 1st one was our early season snow/ice event, 2nd was a major snow/ice maker that went just south and the 3rd is occurring now but does not have an airmass to work with. It's just a matter of time as the pattern progresses.... Regardless of the pattern it seems the stj is for real and will continue to provide chances with big upside....
  4. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Here you go.... http://www.americanwx.com/raleighwx/MJO/MJO.html
  5. poolz1

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    It's a beaut Clark...Just missing the 1042 arctic high over southern Ontario https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=global-northpacific-08-48-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  6. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Was just looking at the latest MJO plots...Euro and GFS wants to stall in phase 4 at the end of their runs.... Hoping we get into 5 and just keep moving along or just head into the COD and reemerge into favorable phases.
  7. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Not pretty...but maybe some positives can be taken regarding the christmas-ish storm? Better ridge axis this run...50/50 in better position. A few adjustment and it would be a whole dif outcome....
  8. poolz1

    December Discobs Thread 2018

    Coldest morning of the season... low of 14
  9. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    It close.....You're obviously missing the little innocuous s/w up in Tuktoynukville that will tail whip it down to the Carolinas....
  10. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Only when it's warm....
  11. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    I understand it's a LR prog but it is an ens. If comparable neg 850 temps were forecasted over the east at that range we would consider it to be highly impressive for an ens run. Just more evidence the PV will probably not fully recover at all this winter....the hits keep coming and this one could be the real deal.
  12. poolz1

    December 9/10 Storm

    It could be the I-40 wall for all I care....as far as MBY goes. I will be in DC tomorrow for the skins game...I'm sure it will feel and look like snow. Would be great to a period of light snow during the game....probably a stretch though.
  13. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    Ha! True....Im not picky either...only when I daydream. Give me a high of 33 with astroids and I'll be just as happy.
  14. poolz1

    December 9/10 Storm

    06z Euro...for those interested
  15. poolz1

    December Medium/Long Range Discussion

    I love the big storm chances for this season but I am hoping we get a few "normal" snow storms. I loved the storms of 13/14. Being on the right side of a pressing arctic airmass with a juiced stj slamming into it. Cold powder where every flake counts and the overrunning precip breaks out 3-4 hours before any model indicated... Daydreaming a little but if we get any of these type of storms, Jan looks to be our best bet I think.
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