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Bob Chill

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Everything posted by Bob Chill

  1. Yea, we know. We know. If the sun was out it would about to be obscured by rain too.
  2. Can confirm. I'm on my 3rd or 4th blizzard. Looking for an even 6 pack at this point
  3. Already got more snow than I was expecting. Man this is annoying
  4. It's a confusing system in some ways. It's layered like a sandwich longitudinally with the vertical approach. We usually fail hard with these. It's very rare to get strong synoptic support like this after fropa. The upper level support appears to catch up on the mesos and keeps the shield fairly healthy for a number of hours. Does that happen tho? NW flow and departing slp without a closed ull low is tuff to trust. Well see
  5. You can see the tight vorticity round the base in SW VA. The current shield will move out then unstable upper levels take over. Usually pretty unpredictable but unless steady/heavy I don't see much more than an inch at best after the synoptic shield moves out. SnowTV is always fun tho.
  6. Fake? Evertime a gust rips I start flippin switches. Some scary shizzle uppin my hizzle
  7. You're doing it wrong man! You CLOSE your eyes and make shit up. You new here?
  8. Hmmm... lemme think here a minute.... yeah, OK. Here's what we're gonna do. Go ahead an book a second blizzard for now but leave space in the ledger for a 3rd or 4th. Still early.
  9. I like seeing side by side bands developing west of us currently over HGR/Cumberland zone. That's prob the best ratio/best lift stuff. Should pull thru most of our sub in some fashion
  10. I do the opposite. I come to this forum, start considering jabbing ice picks in my eyeballs, THEN it gets really really REALLY haaaaaazy uppin dacrib
  11. Eyeballing your post I'm going with 35.8mph. Go ahead and book the blizzard. Who's next?!
  12. Man, starting to feel bad for all the poor defenseless snowflakes getting pummeled and concussed in my yar.... wait a minute.... I was thinking of someone else. Suckers! Now you know how I FEEL during winters here! Beat up with a headache
  13. I just realized I've never had an anemometer but I can eyeball wind like a boss. 35.5mph on that last gust. Blizzard in the books. Ready for garden season.
  14. Now we're talkin. Flake size consolidated and the dumping has commenced. One single gust of 35mph and I officially declare a blizzard.
  15. 2 blizzards on the same day? That's A LOT of blizzarding! Man, I tell you what, this Friday just keeps gettin better. Might have to get some cold cuts
  16. Idk man. This is pretty epic in any winter if it's close to reality
  17. Haven't had a good blizzarding in a while. This is gonna be cool
  18. It seems to run every hour on time so pretty reliable.
  19. In my brain, I keep it pretty simple. To me, the trends look exactly like "climo lines creeping north". My yard today probably has winter wx far closer to Doswell, VA than the yards I grew up in in the 70s and 80s here. It's only a 90 minute drive but it makes a big difference. York PA winter weenies prob feel the same way just different reference points. SNE hasn't been affected nearly as much because they usually have a lot of wiggle room. Especially on warm side of storms. Anywhere south of NYC all the way to Raleigh probably have similar thoughts to me. OTOH- climo lines have been constantly moving waaaay before man was even around. I don't doubt our messy ways have affected the atmosphere. If everyone was being honest with themselves we wouldn't have "deniers". But how much? Who's to say we don't enter a cold period regardless of our bad habits? Watch and wait is all I can do.
  20. It cuts both ways around here imho too. Moisture transport benefits greatly from just modest rises in base temps. That + strong baroclonicty with warm ocean/cold continent is most likely the primary driver behind the series of outsized east coast storms since 2009. That will likely continue for years. But being right in between cold/warm climo regions, we're also going to continue to suffer fails that wouldn't fail before. We had a lot of boring mild winter wx in the 80s. Especially the first half before the 87 storms. Reminds me very much of the last couple winters here. We really did struggle to get good snow between 1980-87. It was warm A LOT too. Maybe not the new normal warm but just boring and crappy. If you lived here between the blizzard of 79 and 87 back to backers you would have absolutely hated this hobby. I'm sure of that. There are cycles in cycles in cycles with longwave patterns. I'll reserve my personal fear and concerns for another 5 years or so. Back in the 50s there was a stretch of ungodly warm winters iirc. Maybe we're in that cycle and it's being exasperated by a warming planet. Beats me. I'm kinda old so when it stops snowing entirely around here IWGAF cuz I'm doing dead things by then
  21. Another reason I hate missing that storm. How can you even comprehend more than full weenie when you missed the ONLY legit triple phaser in the last 50+ years? That storm set the upper limit of full weenie from a nuts and bolts perspective. I'll just have to guess but I'm pretty good at this game. Some may say my weenie has been pretty big in the past.
  22. Sat deal has looked workable in some fashion in general since it showed up. No feelings one way or another yet. However, if it lines up for even just an OK event at best by Thurs, I'm going full weenie. Maybe more than full weenie.
  23. I'm a genetic country person apparently. Never accepted it fully until past few years. I'm sick of the chase here man. My patience tank for this place is just about empty. You might have heard me drop ideas about moving to Kerr or Gaston lake area. That's changed. We're looking at 50 acre properties just east of Smith Mtn lake. I don't think I'll ever forgive myself if I don't lay family roots on land that can be hunted, fished, and farmed for generations. I should have done this 20 years ago but I was trained to think a certain way growing up here. The older I get, the more I realize my mistake. Better late than never tho
  24. I missed it. It was during the end of my first season in CO. I was so blown away by rockies snowstorms that the 93 storm went mostly unnoticed by me. It was only years later when I really understood what happened when I started feeling like I missed something big. I missed Jan of 96 for the same reason.
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