southmdwatcher
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About southmdwatcher
- Birthday 06/27/1967
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0.95" today and 7.38" for the month
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There was some low level rotation and an inflow notch indicated by TDCA terminal radar as the storm passed I95 for a few scans, it has since become outflow dominant.
- 952 replies
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- 2
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- severe
- thunderstorms
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2.56" in the past 24 hours and 3.5" in the past two days.
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2.09" of rain since 6am and storm total of 3.03"
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0z NAM just came out with again 3 to 6 inch rain totals regionwide. Heaviest rains on all the models are supposed to be tomorrow through Friday. If that comes true, areas northwest of DC will have large issues.
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12z and 18z GFS operational are showing 5 day totals of 3 to 6 inches regionwide as per our model suite on American WX. European was showing similar amounts on EuroWX.com
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The initial line has slipped south of Frederick. Scattered storms, riding the stalled front from Ohio and West Virginia are becoming more numerous and look to overspread the area, from the west.
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Storms in Ohio are likely the indicator of where the training event that will set up later on.
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Definitely, the storms in Ohio are moving east/southeast.
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Several supercells going off in Ohio behind all the action that raced eastward in PA. Nice, one TOR warned and one large Severe warned nearing the WV border.
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I agree, but with all that instability and the Moderate Risk area north of us definitely going bonkers, I think SPC played it safe.
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Yes until 11pm
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MCD just released for our region by the SPC, 60 percent chance of a watch, just looking at the Sterling radar, the Echo tops just northwest of Mappy are increasing. With all this instability some will get great pulse storms, before the training rains set up. West of Littlestown PA and south of Gettysburg, tops of 48k ft and hail. Storms are increasing along the west end of the line and there are some storms along the Blue Ridge.
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Light snow in central Charles County.
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Pouring snow 3.0 inches. South of Waldorf