southmdwatcher
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About southmdwatcher
- Birthday 06/27/1967
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I am in Alexandria and the sun is trying to break through here right now as well. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
74 degrees and breaks of good sun coming north.from Charles County -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
6Z 3km NAM shows the strongest 850mb winds are running through VA later this afternoon. CAPE of 1000-1500 runs Fredericksburg and then southward. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
We shall see what SPC and Sterling have to say over the next few hours. The lapse rates over us now are quite strong. That will move out as we head towards morning. The sun will definitely be out for some period of time tomorrow, just a matter of how long and whether a new batch of prefrontal storms breaks out and squashes any substantial buildup of instability. The timing of the event across AL/MS is slightly quicker than was expected. That throws wrinkles into our forecast tomorrow. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
That was from 15Z run of SREF, this is 21Z- 600 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Day 3 Slight with Enhanced off to the south. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
The Euro had the secondary low pressure yesterday. This is at 84 hours, so take it for what that is worth. The 12km NAM just ran and has the main low heading into the Great Lakes, as a secondary forms in MS/AL late Thursday and rides northeastward to around Knoxville TN as a 991mb low at 8pm Friday night. Could be quite stormy with the pressure falls, backed winds and night time low level jet increase as we go through Friday evening through Saturday morning. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
TDS for the last 3 scans started near Bethel heading for Georgetown. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Saluda and Urbanna could have been hit really hard just now. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Wow, the storms off to the southeast are really significant. One crossing the Bay as Andy pointed out and the one that just passed over Saluda VA -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Loud wind gusts continue and heavy rain. Close but not severe here, but it certainly had the feel. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I can hear it coming, booming thunder lights flickering already.- 600 replies
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2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
small inflow notch just crossed the river south of Nanjemoy -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Not good, and it gets to cross the River and get the added kick for rotation. Lovely next 45 minutes coming up. -
2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion
southmdwatcher replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
I agree, but that is the nighttime Dixie Alley taste I was speaking of. Hopefully, uneventful.