Heisy

Winter 25-26. Never forget Still getting rogue model runs of snow 17-20th range. Doubtful, but not impossible

18z euro Ai semi close to a nice hit day 10-12. Euro def has some interest for this time period. Here was the euro for the same time frame

18z euro Ai has 2 snow events in this range

18z euro Ai has 2 snow events in this range

Signal for a nice +PNA growing on euro guidance. It’s more muted on GFS/GEFS. Without blocking though wed need well timed waves. Shortwaves timed right after a cold front. Significant snow likely a long shot, but we’re going to get some decent cold shots if this is legit.

Just for fun, it’s March whatever ha, but this was about to be a massive nor’easter, and cold/frozen by the looks of it

This strong front keeps showing up on the euro Ai and euro to a degree. It’s also on the EPS. Around day 8-9. We saw the euro have that fantasy event. It was also loading up at the very end of the run. It’s a +PNA pattern, but not much blocking showing up so probably would have to time waves perfectly

With the SSW event I suspect we’ll see some -NAO showing as we head towards mid month. Just a gut feeling. We’ll probably have BN period second half of month. If we’re lucky maybe even a freak frozen event. Never know

First signs of the block showing up LR from The PV split? Heh being a bit sarcastic, but

I’m still not writing off last 10-12 days of March to bring back BN or a storm chance. MJO support potentially and the PV split. It’ll probably be a crappy spring regardless

Yea odds are always low, we also may get MJO help as the month progresses. It would be pretty crazy if we go from a stretch of 70s early month to a March 20-25 major snowstorm lol.

While the warm stretch is coming, and I can’t wait, don’t write off the end of March for a sneaky surprise with the PV split occurring early month.

Thing is there is a huge difference between the gfs progression vs euro. CMC is towards euro, though I guess you could call it a compromise. Posted this in mid Atlantic forum, but you can see why the gfs is almost a day earlier with the wave vs euro. With a euro progression we could still cash, but it’s later on in the cold press. Until the models decide which camp is right you can’t trust either one of them

I think it’s a half beat too slow lol.