Major Hurricane Melissa - 903mb - 175mph

[cptcatz]

Did that pass miss the center?

[BooneWX]

3 minutes ago, cptcatz said:

Did that pass miss the center?

Yes, just a bit SW of center 

[NJwx85]

As others pointed out, it has made the loop. Looks like that’s it. Locked and loaded on Jamaica now. Looks like recon is well timed. Peak intensity likely here.

[HKY_WX]

The eye appears to have gotten a bit smaller on Sat. Not sure if the vdm will confirm or not.

[CoastalWx]

Coldest tops all day. 

[Maestrobjwa]

We should update the thread title to major, no?

[Radtechwxman]

Melissa definitely looks to be doing a loop. Might make an abrupt ne turn soon. Only took 85 years. 

[WxWatcher007]

[MarkO]

Last few frames are pretty impressive with the cloud tops. Looks to be more symmetrical, and a jog south, it might have reached it's maximum westerly position, or could just be another wabble. 

[WxWatcher007]

Both recon flights moving in for a NE to SW pass. 

[Coach McGuirk]

Hopefully, it goes west and just clips Jamaica. 

[Coach McGuirk]

It looks like it is retrograding south. 

[SnoSki14]

Just now, Coach McGuirk said:

It looks like it is retrograding south. 

It's looping around. Start of the turn north to NNE

[NorthHillsWx]

Tropical tidbits down for me

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Tropical tidbits down for me

It's been hard getting TT to work along with the recon sites, Jamaica radar, and satellite pages for me  

[FPizz]

https://x.com/StormCat5_/status/1982935576853533122

almost outside the cone

[Radtechwxman]

Pressure up on 8pm advisory and winds stayed same. I honestly thought pressure may be down and winds up based on how satellite looked. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Radtechwxman said:

Pressure up on 8pm advisory and winds stayed same. I honestly thought pressure may be down and winds up based on how satellite looked. 

Possible it weakened a little earlier and maybe it’s getting steam Again. 

[AStorms13]

The newest cone update is so much wider…. Lots of uncertainty. This hurricane is nuts


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[CoastalWx]

You’re going to have fluctuations at this intensity. 

[Floydbuster]

Just now, AStorms13 said:

The newest cone update is so much wider…. Lots of uncertainty. This hurricane is nuts


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What new cone update?

[Coach McGuirk]

2 minutes ago, FPizz said:

https://x.com/StormCat5_/status/1982935576853533122

almost outside the cone

Super strong storms seem to do their own thing. 

[AStorms13]

What new cone update?

They did a 8pm EST cone update for some reason. Just released


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[WxWatcher007]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Possible it weakened a little earlier and maybe it’s getting steam Again. 

Agree. Like last night it probably needs to get a little deeper into the night for the winds to respond to what we're seeing with convection. Still no evidence of an ERC so I'm inclined to think we peak tonight. Maybe a touch closer to 900mb even (but staying just above). 

[Floydbuster]

Just now, AStorms13 said:

They did a 8pm EST cone update for some reason. Just released


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Those are just the 8pm statistics with the 5pm cone. The new cone would come out at 11pm.

[MDSnow93]

1 minute ago, Floydbuster said:

What new cone update?

They widened the cone significantly. Much more room off the west coast, and pretty much to the eastern edge.

[AStorms13]

They did a 8pm EST cone update for some reason. Just released


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If it isn’t updating online, check out MaxVelocity’s stream, he has it


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[nj2va]

It almost looks stationary the last few frames.

[NavarreDon]

Late to this one & not sure if this has been posted….but if you’re on X this is just a jaw dropping thread!!!

https://x.com/flynonymouswx/status/1982911146266075605?s=46&t=0ZvB_AF2VfA6c0SDxf53yA


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[AStorms13]

New cone has Kingston in it now


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