NavarreDon

My Brother just east of Glenville and at elevation has between 3-4”. .

My brother outside of Glenville has a solid inch so he’s on par with you! .

Morning guys, just wanted to say a couple things. Think this is going to be a decent event for some of you. It seems like some are apprehensive. Anyone closer to the 85 corridor has the right to be. If you’re up in the Mnts try to take emotions out of what you are or are not seeing. Use technology and synoptics. If your not the best model reader lean on GSP’s AFD’s they are a wealth of knowledge and have pretty much everything that’s been happening in print with the reasons why. With all the micro climates up there you’re going to have the usual over & under achievers. But don’t rush to judgment based on emotion. Use the tools at hand to understand what’s happening and why. Sorry for the rant & I hope all of you overachieve!!! .

Hello Mnt & Foothill peeps! I see we’re in the pre storm boom or bust excitement phase. I really like the look of this system. In GSP’s afternoon disco they speak of the system currently in Texas being better organized than modeled. Certainly won’t be surprised to see some places upgraded overnight. As usual there will be over & under performers. Enjoy the now though because it’s a big part of the fun! Good luck to all of you. .

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Wind and storms are ripping onshore from the gulf down here in the Panhandle. Tons of energy & fuel for you guys upstream. Be safe & alert today! .

Surprised this isn't getting more attention: Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1127 PM CST Wed Feb 05 2020 Valid 061200Z - 071200Z ...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE TO NORTH CAROLINA... ...SUMMARY... Severe thunderstorms are expected to spread from the northeast Gulf Coast this morning to the Carolinas by early evening. Damaging winds could be common with this activity, and a few tornadoes are also possible. ...Northeast Gulf Coast to the Carolinas... Strong low-latitude trough is beginning to shift east across the Big Bend of TX/northeast Mexico as a pronounced mid-level speed max approaches the base of this feature. By mid day, 500mb speed max in excess of 100kt will translate into the lower MS Valley, then strengthen to near 140kt over the Carolinas by 27/12z. In response, intense 12hr mid-level height falls (200m) will spread across the northern Gulf States into the western Carolinas. LLJ is forecast to strengthen across the northern Gulf Basin into southern AL by sunrise Thursday. This will encourage boundary-layer moistening with upper 60s surface dew points expected to advance inland across southern AL/GA, with near 70F dew points across the FL Panhandle. This moistening will be more than adequate for substantial SBCAPE ahead of the surging cold front. Latest thinking is scattered-numerous thunderstorms will be ongoing along the front at the start of the period. As large-scale forcing approaches this region, a sharpening band of frontal convection should evolve. Given the strengthening wind fields there is increasing confidence that a potentially damaging squall line will race northeast across the ENH Risk area. In addition, a few pre-squall line supercells may also develop as minimal forcing will be needed to initiate convection. Tornado threat will be most concentrated with these more discrete structures, though embedded squall-line circulations are also expected given the shear. A well organized squall line should progress across GA/northern FL into the Carolinas during the evening hours. This linear MCS should advance off the NC Coast shortly after midnight. ..Darrow/Bentley.. 02/06/2020

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MOB with a great disco on our area down here! https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=MOB&issuedby=MOB&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1 .

Thoughts? https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html

Here is a trailer about the actual documentary. .

Happy Thanksgiving everyone! As the 2019 Atlantic season draws to a close I still reflect back on Michael. I was fortunate enough to catch this WSRE rebroadcast of this indie piece. It’s certainly an eye opener! .

Hold on!!! Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 700 AM EST Tue Nov 19 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure located about 250 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands is gradually becoming better organized and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has been developing closer to the center since yesterday. If this trend continues, then a tropical or subtropical depression or storm could form in the next day or so while the system moves northwestward and then northward over the open Atlantic. The low is forecast to interact with a frontal system by midweek and further development is unlikely after that time. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

Duh!!! Thank you. .

I’m sure this is going to sound stupid but...why no update since 10? .