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Everything posted by NavarreDon
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Agreed, will they do post analysis & if so wonder what it’ll lead to? .
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2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
It is, mainly some freezing rain. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
I realize it’s off topic for this thread but, I thought you all might get a kick out of this. . -
Don’t see this everyday! .
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2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
LOL!!! . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Wolf Ridge cam shows it snowing hard currently! . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Congrats to all & thanks for letting me ride along!!! . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
You’ll be pleased! . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
My Brother (4100’) outside of Glenville has about 14”, multiple measures, as best as he can figure. Here’s a pic he snapped a while ago. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Just got a text from my brother (4100’) just outside of Glenville. Best he can tell he’s over a foot with heavy snow now & very windy. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
The backside of this system means business, it’s currently 39 with a stiff NW wind down at the beach. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Just talked to a buddy in Woodstock GA and he’s gone over to snow. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
That’s a great view! It gives a good look at what’s to come! . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Hey hey looky here….lol! . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Awesome Jason! pics? -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Congrats to all of you!!! To say I'm jealous would be an understatement. Keep the obs, pics, & vids coming. -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Downstream obs from Navarre in the W FL Panhandle. Storm is over performing. Already with 1.17” & more to come. . Edit to add no convection so far that could rob upstream moisture. -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Sustained 35 mph with 1/4 mile or less visibility for at least a 3 hr period. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
It’s basically go time now. Model watching is about over. If I was up there I’d be looking at the strength & placement of the HP & watching the track, speed of the developing LP. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
TWC has boots on the ground in AVL already, Felicia Combs reporting this morning. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Sometimes it’s a good idea to look at things downstream. This is part of MOB’s morning disco. I’d recommend reading the rest as they’re a damn good crew. This is what you want to see for a bigger Mnt/FH snow! .NEAR TERM UPDATE /Now Through Sunday/...An upper level shortwave trough dives south over the Plains tonight, organizing into a closed low as it moves. The upper low moves east over the Lower Mississippi River Valley to over the forecast area by Sunday night as a decreasingly positively tilted system, then increasingly negatively tilted as it moves east of the forecast area late Saturday night through Sunday. A surface low that has developed over Texas this afternoon moves east-southeast along the northern Gulf coast to over the forecast area by early Saturday evening. A weak warm front organizes along the Gulf coast tonight ahead of the approaching surface low, but with relatively weak low level southerly flow ahead of approaching system, the front will remain along the coast. A strong cold front moves east over the forecast area beginning Saturday night, ushering in a colder and drier airmass. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Boom for you guys! The big boys at WPC put no stock in the quirky NAM runs. that low track is gonna be gold for the Mnts. I wouldn't fly over the cliff because of lower qpf totals in some areas. This tends to happen with models as the event draws near. Often times it's closer to the earlier higher totals. As with every big Mnt snow event the totals will vary wildly. Good luck to all of you!!! -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
I think the rates will overcome any sort of warmth in the mid levels for most in the Mnts. Also bear in mind the higher elevations will likely be looking at maybe a 12-1 vs 10-1 ratio if the temps maintain a upper 20’s profile. . -
2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
NavarreDon replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Normally would be the overnight tonight/tomorrow morning. With how early they put out the watch I could see a portion of the watch going warning this afternoon. .