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Everything posted by NavarreDon

  1. Just an update TS warnings start at the Santa Rosa/Okaloosa county line. Navarre is actually under a TS Watch. .
  2. Here we go….. A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for the coast of the Florida Panhandle from Navarre to the Wakulla/Jefferson County line. .
  3. LOL, not a lot to prep for! Secure some things in the yard, gas in vehicles (due to others), ect.
  4. Up early this morning, prep will begin as watches have been hoisted. .
  5. Looks like some towers around what was the center of Fred? .
  6. Obviously it’s a filthy mess but this always raises the eyebrow!!!! .
  7. My post wasn’t directed at you, I enjoy your enthusiasm. Some of the tangents the that posts take the direction of the thread in, are a bit over the top. .
  8. Great post! Some normalcy in the thread has returned!!! .
  9. At work & just saw this, looks like a shift to the west….thoughts? .
  10. I would recommend the Panhandle. Base of Panama City Beach, this allows relocation both E & W in pretty quick order. .
  11. Really frustrating & yes is there a fix in the works!!!?
  12. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Jun 30 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad low pressure area and tropical wave located about 1300 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands have become better organized since yesterday. However, recent satellite wind data indicates that the disturbance does not have a well-defined circulation. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for continued development, and a tropical depression or storm is likely to form during the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress of this system, as advisories on a potential tropical cyclone, accompanied by tropical storm watches for portions of this area, are likely to be issued later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. .
  13. Any Mod or Admin. Have a resolution for this? Lot’s of history in these deleted threads! .
  14. https://www.news8000.com/i/claudette-regaining-strength-after-13-killed-in-alabama/
  15. https://weather.com/news/news/2021-06-19-tropical-storm-claudette-louisiana-mississippi-alabama-florida-georgia
  16. Our winds are sustained @ 30+ and gusting over 40 here in Navarre. I have certainly been thru better looking TS’s that weren’t as impressive. .
  17. Welcome baby girl.....hahahaha! WTNT43 KNHC 190859 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Claudette Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032021 400 AM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021 The system that we have been tracking for a few days finally has enough of a well-defined center and organized convection to be considered a tropical storm. While the organization is not classical by any means, and there are some hybrid characteristics, the cyclone most resembles a sheared tropical storm, so the system is now Tropical Storm Claudette. The initial wind speed remains 40 kt, in line with surface observations and radar. These winds are primarily occurring in a strong band on the eastern side of the cyclone well away from the center.
  18. Came home from FWB to Navarre (7-7:45pm). Bands of rain, in FWB no wind to speak of, Hurlburt field to Navarre was about *20mph sustained with gust to 30mph. About .9" of precip so far at the home gauge. *estimated winds
  19. I’m at work in Fort Walton Beach but we’re about to get a small taste at home. .
  20. The first outer band is coming ashore in FL,AL,MS, & LA now.
  21. I’m no expert but the disco seems to account for what you’re saying. Numerical intensity guidance do not indicate a great deal of strengthening before the system reaches the coastline, and the official forecast is at the high end of the guidance. Since the center is not that well-defined at this time, the initial motion estimate, 360/8 is quite uncertain. The system is expected to move northward into a weakness in the subtropical ridge for the next day or so and then, after landfall along the central Gulf Coast, turn toward the northeast on the northwest side of a mid-level anticyclone near Florida. The official track forecast is closest to the GFS and ECMWF predictions. It should be noted, however, that these models suggest some reformation of the center near the Louisiana coast rather than just motion from the southwest Gulf to the expected coastal landfall point. Given the current and anticipated structure of this system, users should not focus on the exact track of the center, as rainfall and wind hazards are likely to extend well east of the center and arrive well in advance of landfall. .
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