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OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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About OSUmetstud

  • Birthday 04/21/1985

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    CYYT
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    St. John's, NL, Canada

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  1. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    QPF was over modeled there too.

  2. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Anyone know of papers discussing the overmodeling of qpf in zr events? I believe it's a thing and I've heard it discussed around here before. It definitely has manifested itself in this event so far in upstate NY and Ontario.

  3. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Ill take the under.

  4. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Those maps dont take into account any run-off.

  5. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Yeah could be. 100 MUCAPE showing up on the mesoanalysis.

  6. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Niagara county will probably get a bit of ip mixing in with this batch. There's IP whiting the ground on the cams in Cayuga, on the Peninsula.

  7. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    everyone will die

  8. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Yeah, I'm kinda curious. I might actually buy the 12z reg qpf a bit more than the ECMWF, since it's kinda meso/convective, ecmwf seems a bit low tonight.

  9. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Sunday morning into afternoon.

  10. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    temps are 32 at 12z, 32 at 15z, and 33 at 18z. Very low efficiency in the beginning to plain rain in the end.

  11. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    some of that is rain after 12z.

  12. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    New euro has only a bit over 0.5" of qpf tonight for wny.

  13. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    That diagram has radial ice, which is half of flat ice, that's what we were discussing. Worst reasonable case scenario is like 1" flat ice, 0.5" radial ice. Chance of this occurring is about 10% chance according to the WPC.

  14. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    although I think 25-35 mph is a more accurate range for this event in general. BUF is already in that range.

  15. Upstate/Eastern New York

    OSUmetstud replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Yes of course it's sustained.
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