OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. Watching things last night I think the Niagara Peninsula would have gotten the most. Any report a bit east of you on the escarpment?
  2. I threw about 2-3" in Windsor and 4 to 5" for the Niagara Peninsula on our storm report.
  3. In the aggregate if it hospitalized 5 times more kids than flu in a given year it's more dangerous imo at least.
  4. I thought this was kinda interesting. I know there is extreme age-stratified risk on Covid, but some of the "less dangerous than flu for kids" thing is way overstated. In terms of hospitalizations, it looks like COVID blows seasonal flu out of the water. https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/2016-2017.html There was about 34K hospitalization under 17 along with 251 deaths https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html There was about 137k hospitalizations under 17 as of the end of December. There's been 258 deaths confirmed so far.
  5. Lol yeah. They do an estimate for age groups. 65+ is about 20 percent.
  6. This is the estimate for all infections. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html 4.1 million for 83 million infected. Approximately 2 percent.
  7. Theres b cells and t cells that are tough to test for. We dont have lots of antibodies just circulating in our blood on the reg.
  8. My uneducated opinion but given that sars cov 2 has a proof reading mechanism and that it only goes antigenic drift and not shift unlike flu I think its really unlikely we'd need a vaccine every year. Good to prepare logistical for those possibilities though.
  9. We shouldn't ignore those who have been infected and there's a fairly wide range of estimates on that People are not acting normally across the US. Mobility is down and people are taking precautions. There is no hard line between when herd immunity is achieved and herd immunity isn't achieved. Young kids potentially being less susceptible to infection and less productive spreaders and non homogeneous population mixing may lower the herd immunity threshold a bit from a simple Ro calculation.
  10. Do you think an alarm bell goes off when herd immunity is reached?
  11. There was a 19% increase in accidental death due mainly due to overdose last year. The increase was far higher than the background trend. We can argue why those happened. But mental health has gotten considerably worse during the pandemic. Maybe it's the fear of the virus...maybe it's the negative media...maybe it's the lockdowns. But either way the other ways people suffer during this thing can't be cast aside.
  12. Isn't this already a thing?
  13. I get it. It's frustrating. There's 2 other vaccines with ample supply that are currently used. Theyre upholding their commitment to safety. You and I both know there's almost no appetite for poor vaccine outcomes in the US. I hope they look for a few day make recommendations and get back to business.
  14. I guess we'll see who the real bills fans are.
  15. Okay. So he supports the other government agencies that made the decision. Why is this a problem? It's exactly how the system is supposed to work. This is why they are constantly monitoring.
  16. You live in hamburg. I'm not terribly surprised lol.
  17. Fauci is not part of the fda lol.
  18. Maybe. But the players are required to be there and are employed by the NFL. The fans are not. I'm just guessing it would fall under a different legal standard. I was listening to a medical ethics dude the other day that suggested an employer requiring vaccines for employees would be really tough under an EUA and would be a big court battle.
  19. Sure. I feel like the county would have a real tough time trying to exert its influence over a NFL team in that way. The NFLPA would probably complain and take them to court. I dont know the rules and the legal but requiring a vaccine to play for the Bills (especially under an EUA) might be a bit different than requiring one for attending a game.
  20. Yeah I have a feeling he'll get around to it. He didn't say he wouldn't.
  21. I mean maybe. I'd rather have everyone vaccinated lol.
  22. It's an erie county rule not a bills rule.
  23. Nah. Growing up on a cantaloupe farm will do that to you lol. Its fine. I'd rather he be a bit more pro vaccine but he mostly took a neutral milquetoast position. Perhaps he wants to make sure that he doesn't offend anyway and sell merchandise.