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OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. OSUmetstud
    I'd sell the double low look that the gfs has. Looks like improper phasing compared to other guidance.
  2. OSUmetstud
    I thought u were talking about the gfs saturday fropa not monday?
  3. OSUmetstud
    Reg is favoring a bit further south.
  4. OSUmetstud
    Our in house wrf and umos rdps pick up the wind magnitudes surprisingly well.
  5. OSUmetstud
    Nice. Plateau ns had a les suetes gust to 108 kt.
  6. OSUmetstud
    Mountain wave/downslope north of the warm front. Its specifically known for that. Wouldnt want to fly into yjt today.
  7. OSUmetstud
    Yul was gusting to 40 kt when we came in an hour ago. Pretty bumpy on approach. I hope we can get into yyt late this afternoon
  8. OSUmetstud
    Port colburne hit 80 mph yesterday. But thats a weenie spot in a near perfect lake funneling set up. Even buf couldnt manage 70 mph.
  9. OSUmetstud
    Peak gust to 75 mph at iag.
  10. OSUmetstud
    Maybe. Usually it comes in a single surge. Its been leveling off at bufn6 the last 20 minutes or so...so they usually means the rise is mostly done aside from a few inches here or there. I think the double front kept the seiche at bay. An abrupt wind shift from east to sw is better.
  11. OSUmetstud
    Seiche is going to end up a bit weak sauce in the end. Wont rival the over 11 ft event from jan 2008. Its leveling off now. The wind shift speed change wasnt abrupt and violent enough to be ideal.
  12. OSUmetstud
    63 g 80 mph at port colburne
  13. OSUmetstud
    I never said it was easy. Why did you immediately go on the attack lol?
  14. OSUmetstud
    Why wouldnt the necessary variables be available out to day 16?
  15. OSUmetstud
    Iterated omega temp and rh. Should be doable for nam and gfs products.
  16. OSUmetstud
    It doesnt 20:1 ratios on the reg so it wont get the clicks.
  17. OSUmetstud
    No. Its an experimental rgem run out to 84 hrs. Its not the ggem. You will notice the two often do not agreee
  18. OSUmetstud
    Ill send up a rocket into the blackhole.
  19. OSUmetstud
    Montreal yul ended up with a cool 15". Nice storm for them. Ottawa came in with 12"
  20. OSUmetstud
    Yul broke 12 inches.
  21. OSUmetstud
    Right...good luck forecasting that lol. I think everyone kinda caught off guard by the amount of zr in the gta. Fun.
  22. OSUmetstud
    Yeah, that makes some sense. I was thinking something similar. Thanks.
  23. OSUmetstud
    That was 12z, I'm not sure about stuff before and after for DTW. The model soundings for YYZ from 12z for 18-21z this afternoon/evening generally had fairly small and high warm nose near 1 C, but they ended up with 4 hours of zr. Is there some sort of cloud microphysics/lift arguments for zr with less pronounced warm noses? idk.
  24. OSUmetstud
    Any ideas on why the ptype was zr with this DTW sounding? Peak warm nose of 1.2C with 30mb of depth and a cold boundary layer underneath. DTW reported 0.41" of ice accretion via ASOS. Toronto and Hamilton also had a lot of freezing rain today even when the soundings look predominantly suggestive of IP with a relatively high (750-800mb) warm nose with lots of cold air underneath.
  25. OSUmetstud
    Nain had a record high yesterday. Its coming.
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