OSUmetstud
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud
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heh
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This is exhausting. The hurricane is going to hit NS whether you want or not. If you had the choice to drive down the road and experience it first hand in a more abrupt away you wouldn't do that? You would just stay home? If there's a large tornado in CT, you aren't going to chase it?
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Read the thread man. I suggested Hazey go out to Richmond County and experience the power of the hurricane. I was surprised when he wasn't interested.
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If you have a home in an area, and a tornado or hurricane comes, you don't get the choice whether the storm is going to come or not.
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Oh, well that's a different discussion about living in a place with low disaster risk (not available to the less fortunate, of course.) This whole discussion started when I suggested Hazey go check out the storm in coastal Richmond County to fully experience its power. It's not about wishing disasters on people.
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You don't get a choice.
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At least as modeled, I'm interested at how symmetric the storm appears to be as it approaches Nova Scotia, still looks very tropical, which is surprising at latitude with forward motion near 30 KT.
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You don't have the choice whether its coming. Do you want to see the tornado or not? Do you want to experience the hurricane first hand or not? We're not talking about having the choice here.
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Like I get the dread of dealing with the property damage, but I can't relate with this idea of not wanting to go be in it if it was available so close by. I guess that makes me weird or something.
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If it's coming, you would seem like someone who was at least interested in going experience the majesty of weather, Steve. I don't really think that's out there thinking on this forum.
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You wouldn't want to go experience the storm down near the coast of NS?
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Yeah, but you can't really do anything about the damage, its going to happen either way.
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There are times I wonder if you actually like the weather, dude.
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Juan went up on the west side of Halifax, that makes a huge difference. Still possible, but guidance seems locked in for a track just southeast of Halifax.
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Hazey should take a nice trip to the Richmond County shoreline. Some of these pressure on the HWRF and the ECMWF at landfall are pretty ridiculous, I'm pretty sure they'd set the NS record.
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Solid hit on the euro for my area.
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Thats not Elinor. Its Zach...he was a bit of teen genius from the old board that has seemed to go the way of weirdness ala Chuck. Elinor is Turtle not Turtle Hurricane.
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The lack of blocking over Atlantic Canada with this one makes it tough to get west definitely fun and important to monitor run to run changes though
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Should be decent here. Id like another nudge east to get into the lightly better winds. The winds wont be higher than any of our major winter storms but with leafed trees and unfrozen ground there will be more opportunity for damage and power outages.
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The COTI ensemble track blend followed by the UKMET have been the best verifying pieces of guidance for Dorian at 120 hours so far.
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Id probably go 45/35/20 for landfall probs in NL, NS, and out to sea. Theres still a lot of lowering of heights in Atlantic Canada ahead of Dorian that make me hesitant to believe in the further west tracks like the gfs and the ukmet even with the partial phase from the clipper out of eastern Canada.
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Where is the post?
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Looks pretty solid for an Atlantic Canada landfall.
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The Icon is so good at tropical forecasting that the NHC doesn't even run statistics on it.
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This is the third leading story on fox. Much more responsible. Canadian ex-PM 'rooting' for Hurricane Dorian to slam Mar-a-Lago
