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OSUmetstud

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by OSUmetstud

  1. Thats not Elinor. Its Zach...he was a bit of teen genius from the old board that has seemed to go the way of weirdness ala Chuck. Elinor is Turtle not Turtle Hurricane.
  2. The lack of blocking over Atlantic Canada with this one makes it tough to get west definitely fun and important to monitor run to run changes though
  3. Should be decent here. Id like another nudge east to get into the lightly better winds. The winds wont be higher than any of our major winter storms but with leafed trees and unfrozen ground there will be more opportunity for damage and power outages.
  4. The COTI ensemble track blend followed by the UKMET have been the best verifying pieces of guidance for Dorian at 120 hours so far.
  5. Id probably go 45/35/20 for landfall probs in NL, NS, and out to sea. Theres still a lot of lowering of heights in Atlantic Canada ahead of Dorian that make me hesitant to believe in the further west tracks like the gfs and the ukmet even with the partial phase from the clipper out of eastern Canada.
  6. Looks pretty solid for an Atlantic Canada landfall.
  7. The Icon is so good at tropical forecasting that the NHC doesn't even run statistics on it.
  8. This is the third leading story on fox. Much more responsible. Canadian ex-PM 'rooting' for Hurricane Dorian to slam Mar-a-Lago
  9. Hwrf has better scores than the hmon for track...and hwrf is the best model of all for intensity.
  10. I'm grateful for those who know how to embed tweets, otherwise I wouldn't be able to see any of Ryan Maue's. He blocked me a few months back.
  11. This sounds a lot like the seinfeld episode where George takes food into bed.
  12. Right. Might as well put it out at 44013 at this point.
  13. Where did they used to take the official boston ob?
  14. Lolz. 3 or 4:1 snow isnt even a real thing.
  15. Ive never once considered this while forecasting. Seems ridiculous and probably not true.
  16. I think a watch from bos to pvd se is justified. Theres enough uncertainty to not go further nw, i think. Theres a lot of spread over all the guidance. The wrf arw/nmm suite was really dry on the 00z runs. The eps being a tick nw of the op was a good sign.
  17. I'd sell the double low look that the gfs has. Looks like improper phasing compared to other guidance.
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