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Seminole

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    Tallahassee, FL

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  1. Seminole

    Tropical Storm Humberto

    12Z GFS has a slightly stronger storm in the Eastern GOM than the 6Z run. Still nothing to write home about. Looks like Mexico Beach - Cape San Blas landfall
  2. Seminole

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24 Sure seems that way.
  3. Seminole

    2019 Atlantic Hurricane Season

    12z Euro picking up on what the GFS has been hinting at albeit much weaker and slower.
  4. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    That run was brutal. Miami high end CAT 3 Tampa Low end CAT 2 and Jacksonville strong tropical storm.
  5. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    The track beyond 72 hours is about the largest variance I have ever seen in a cone. There must be close to a 600 mile variance. A lot of uncertainty beyond 72 hours with path.
  6. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Euro hugging the coastline from Port St. Lucie to Daytona
  7. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    12Z HWRF has landfall near Melbourne/Palm Bay as high end CAT 4
  8. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Yes With a 919 mb system.
  9. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    Also get down to 919 mb
  10. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    If this pans out it is going to be an insurance nightmare.
  11. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    This is sure to get people excited.
  12. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    This run has Dorian traversing the Florida peninsula in 15 hours. I agree with that much time over land it seems unlikely that re-intensification would happen so soon.
  13. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    HWRF shows re-intensification after Dorian emerges in the GOM. CAT 3 117 mph
  14. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    CAT 2 approaching Tampa
  15. Seminole

    Category Five Hurricane Dorian

    CAT 4 140 mph
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