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Everything posted by Seminole

  1. I think it's reasonable to put a fork in October. November may have a surprise ala Kate 1985. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Kate_(1985)
  2. Borderline CAT 5 around Port Arthur
  3. A lot of wind on the east side we are probably steady 50+ now
  4. House has been swaying off and on since 2:00 AM. Steady 25 to 30 mph wind now. Looks like the bad stuff is a couple of hours away. I will post some pics when we get some more daylight.
  5. Going to take a right hook here at SGI
  6. Which may explain why the last NHC disco hinted at the intensity forecast shifting a little higher.
  7. I'm right in the bulls eye of that 20 inch rain total. I guess on the bright side I won't have to put water in the pool for awhile.
  8. Naked swirls are just so much fun to follow.
  9. Look like COC is over or near Inagua. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/floater_band.php?stormid=AL062021&band=NightMicrophysics&length=24
  10. The next 36 hours will have a lot of land interaction either directly over land or near it. Not exactly the best setup for a strong storm.
  11. Louisiana in the cross hairs for both Marco and Laura on that run.
  12. 12Z GFS a little more bullish with the BOC system. Higher end TS off PC coast Saturday.
  13. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/conus_band.php?sat=G16&band=GEOCOLOR&length=24 Sure seems that way.
  14. 12z Euro picking up on what the GFS has been hinting at albeit much weaker and slower.
  15. If this hits as a high end CAT 4 Tallahassee will lose the entire power grid. 95% power outage and it will be weeks to a month for some to get it restored. I cannot overstate how poorly situated the power grid is relative to large trees that will bend better than Stormy Daniels
  16. I agree and sorry for misunderstanding your earlier post. On the contrary a storm like Charley 2004 had little storm surge with it and it was a high end CAT 4.
  17. Do you think we come close this event? http://www.weather.gov/ilm/christmassnow1989
  18. 12/30 12Z NAM is one big mess for North Georgia by hr 33. Sleet/Ice event for all of GA north of Macon.
  19. My daughter in Buckhead just text me its snowing there.
  20. Euro definitely coming in stronger on this run. Has Nate at 978 in Hr. 96.
  21. This is sure to get some people excited.
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