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Seminole

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Everything posted by Seminole

  1. Seminole
    Safe to say this one has a long way to go.
  2. Seminole
    https://abc-7.com/news/2022/09/27/lee-county-announces-mandatory-evacuations/
  3. Seminole
    What is Zone 3? The evac Zones are A thru E. I can tell you that Zones A thru C were told to evacuate. https://www.leegov.com/publicsafety/emergencymanagement/knowyourzone
  4. Seminole
    To go 20 miles inland? Come on.
  5. Seminole
    Completely untrue. The mandatory evacuation orders went out yesterday.
  6. Seminole
    I'm in the Panhandle and we are hosting Tampa evacuees. Panhandle is the better option.
  7. Seminole
    Looks like the SE eyewall is degrading on radar. Definitely looks like an EWRC is underway.
  8. Seminole
    6Z GFS is N. Ft. Myers landfall
  9. Seminole
    Today that area has almost tripled in population.
  10. Seminole
    As someone who lives in the Big Bend and on barrier island I do not share this sediment.
  11. Seminole
    Primary energy is in the NW quadrant of the LLC per Flash Extent Density. I just don't see a relocation happening to the SW with this much energy is still centered around the LLC. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/floater.php?stormid=AL092022
  12. Seminole
    A ton of upwelling will be going on if the GFS is correct. Upwelling along with the cooler N. GOM water will keep intensity from going off the chain.
  13. Seminole
    Rapidly weakens (+32 mbar) the last 36 hours before landfall. This reminds me of Opal 1995.
  14. Seminole
    Does anyone have access to the 6Z GFS yet?
  15. Seminole
    https://ocean.weather.gov/Loops/ocean_guidance.php?model=GOES&area=GMex&plot=sst&day=0&loop=0 The Northern GOM has been trending for the past two weeks to toward cooler temperatures.
  16. Seminole
    This is going to be what to watch for as far as direct impact is concerned.
  17. Seminole
    I will have a front seat view.
  18. Seminole
    A 4th year in the row of La Nina? Has that ever happened?
  19. Seminole
  20. Seminole
    GFS is at least consistent with a Caribbean TCG. This run has it effecting Louisiana instead of scraping the Florida E coast.
  21. Seminole
    This should grab some folks attention.
  22. Seminole
    Those threads back then when he was on the chase was a perfect example how crowd sourcing info can pay dividends. Kind of nostalgic when you think about it.
  23. Seminole
    SAL is still significant enough to strangle out any potential TC in the MDR.
  24. Seminole
    If the disintegration of the Bermuda High in the later GFS runs comes to fruition it likely means any CV spin ups will be fish storms.
  25. Seminole
    I think it is safe to agree that peak SAL is not going to happen until Mid August or even later given current conditions. Any TC formation would likely be in the GOM or Western Caribbean in the near term.
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