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About chubbs

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    New London, PA
  1. long term 5 yrs+

    Recent graphic from Brian Brettschneider. Note that use of median tends to emphasize typical instead of big snow years. Looks like winter storm track is shifting N.
  2. long term 5 yrs+

    First link has all the data, methods and software - so anyone is free to make their own series or perform whatever analyses they want. Skeptics typically cherry pick the warm adjustments, to make a point, but per chart below the net effect of all adjustments is cooling. While land adjustments generally warm, ocean adjustments tend to cool. Below are a few other links if you are serious about learning: ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ghcn/v3/ https://moyhu.blogspot.com.au/p/a-guide-to-global-temperature-program.html https://judithcurry.com/2015/02/22/understanding-time-of-observation-bias/ http://variable-variability.blogspot.com/p/homogenization.html
  3. long term 5 yrs+

    Not sure about detailed data. NWS (local office) and Northeast Regional Climate Center (see link below) are possibilities http://www.nrcc.cornell.edu/
  4. long term 5 yrs+

    The 74 reference is an old old denier talking point with 2 major logic flaws: 1) Misrepresentation - climate scientists generally expected imminent warming in the 1970s not cooling, 2) Impossible expectations - demanding that everything NOAA (or anyone else) said in the 1970s was perfect in order for us to trust them now is an impossible expectation. I do agree with your last point. You obviously seek material that fits your point of view.
  5. long term 5 yrs+

    This is an area of active research. We are in a climate transition phase and have natural variability, so there is no definitive answer. Winters are getting warmer in E US, despite the periodic cold snowy spells. One important factor the warm spells in winter are getting warmer, this February being a good example. Just speculation, but, if we continue on this path, eventually increasing warmth will win out reducing snow. I'd expect this to start in the southeast and work its way north with time.
  6. long term 5 yrs+

    Rain in Boston, NY the big I95 hit.
  7. long term 5 yrs+

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/capital-weather-gang/wp/2018/03/14/rapid-arctic-warming-and-melting-ice-are-increasing-the-frequency-of-blizzards-in-the-northeast-study-finds/?utm_term=.c1e581537325 https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-018-02992-9
  8. long term 5 yrs+

    After that start, I put little stock in your comment.
  9. 2018 Temperatures

    Euro-reanalysis shows another arctic amplification winter with continental cold focused in Canada+Ntier US.
  10. Glacial Retreat Since 2007

    Global glacier change bulletin, 2017. http://wgms.ch/ggcb/
  11. 2018 Temperatures

    No point in reading, Delingpole is full of BS
  12. Sea Level Rise

    CU just published first paper to detect acceleration in satellite record. http://sealevel.colorado.edu/content/climate-change–driven-accelerated-sea-level-rise-detected-altimeter-era
  13. 2018 Temperatures

    Here is another forecast using statistical methods. https://patricktbrown.org/2018/01/18/global-temperature-2018-likely-to-be-colder-than-2017-record-high-possible-in-2019/
  14. 2018 Temperatures

    To kick-off 2018, below is the recently issued UK Met Office Decadal forecast. Per write-up, PDO+ and AMO+ favor warming over the 5-year outlook period after a relatively cool 2018. Green is the CMIP5 predicted range. https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/long-range/decadal-fc
  15. 2017 Global Temperatures

    Major temperature series adjusted for natural variability: enso, solar, and volcanoes. Strong warming in 2017 after adjustment, particularly for satellites. https://tamino.wordpress.com/2018/01/20/2017-temperature-summary/#more-9559