The “I bring the mojo” Jan 30-Feb 1 potential winter storm

[Buddy1987]

17 minutes ago, Blacksburg Coach said:

Sharp cutoff, north of Fincastle gets a dusting.    

Roanoke- .2-.4 QPF     20-30 to 1 ratios 5-10"

Blacksburg- .2-.5 QPF 20-30 to 1 ratios 6-14"

 

Any shift west or increase in the precip field will add monster numbers out our way.

Love it! Going super aggressive albeit with ratios won’t take a lot to achieve normally abnormal amounts with that type of liquid content. I hope you’re right!

[NEGA_Dawg]

2 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

So, from Athens, Ga to GSP is in the 2-4 range?

[wncsnow]

Just now, NEGA_Dawg said:

So, from Athens, Ga to GSP is in the 2-4 range?

According to the AI Euro- Yes

[lilj4425]

Just now, NEGA_Dawg said:

So, from Athens, Ga to GSP is in the 2-4 range?

Yep. We get dry slotted.  

[Rsheely88]

Pretty good analysis. He is normally spot on with atmospheric trends and analysis


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[Rsheely88]

Nice shift west compared to 12z


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[NYweatherguy]

Just now, lilj4425 said:

Yep. We get dry slotted.  

Still 2 plus days to go. The initial thump will overproduce in NE GA. Just my incredibly uneducated opinion. 

[wncsnow]

Just now, Rsheely88 said:

Nice shift west compared to 12z


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Yes it was an improvement 

[eyewall]

18z Euro is looking good so far.

[Rsheely88]

More precip breaking out on 18z euro for western Carolina


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[Rsheely88]

18z euro could be crush job incoming for all of NC and good chunk of VA precip expanding NW


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[Rsheely88]

More precip than 12z




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[BornAgain13]

Euro AI was a big change! Looks good! Incoming on Euro!!

[BornAgain13]

Almost the entire state of NC with 6"+ lol

[HKY_WX]

Nice tick west on the Euro to break the suppressive trend for the last few runs. There is still time for some more improvement. Most of the models for last weeks storm were way too flat with the polar jet waves and corrected all the way until we got to game time. Part of this is due to the +PNA setup. It definitely lends itself to more digging of shortwaves. Not saying that will happen here, as the synoptics of the pattern are definitely different, but there is a precedent for it. Could be beneficial for those in VA. This won't necessarily hurt NC either given how cold core the vort is.

[mstr4j]

1 minute ago, Rsheely88 said:

More precip than 12z




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Can you send with upstate, sc through GA?

[lilj4425]

2 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Almost the entire state of NC with 6"+ lol

Now that is perfection. Best run I have seen yet for Upstate SC. 

[Rsheely88]

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[mstr4j]

Just now, BornAgain13 said:

Almost the entire state of NC with 6"+ lol

Saw it here, @BornAgain13 - if this happens for us Upstate, SC people I will personally send a 12 pack to your door step of WHATEVER you want

[Rsheely88]

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[lilj4425]

1 minute ago, mstr4j said:

Saw it here, @BornAgain13 - if this happens for us Upstate, SC people I will personally send a 12 pack to your door step of WHATEVER you want

Gives Upstate SC a foot and maybe more.

[SnowDawg]

Wow 18z euro.... I'm still not all in on this but that run is enticing me lol

[CoolBreeze]

3 minutes ago, BornAgain13 said:

Almost the entire state of NC with 6"+ lol

Looks like a big 'ole bowling ball sitting over NC... gotta love ULLs!

[SUNYGRAD]

7 hours ago, Omen said:

 

[olafminesaw]

Just a little extra tilt does a lot of heavy lifting 

[Silver Meteor]

34 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

How often do you guys get a storm of this magnitude down south?

Native of MD/DC/DE I moved to Eastern NC in 2003. Ten years in Wilmington and now thirteen in Greenville. In those twenty three years have not seen a winter storm anywhere near this strong. In fact, have not seen anything more than four inches! (Saw plenty of the tropical stuff though.) 

[AGardiner87]

This might actually be happening guys!! 

[mstr4j]

4 minutes ago, lilj4425 said:

Gives Upstate SC a foot and maybe more.

I'll bring a 12 pack to your house!!

[ADB83]

18z Euro man… wouldn’t that be wild if all of North Carolina saw that kind of result?!


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[NC_hailstorm]

6 minutes ago, Rsheely88 said:

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I'd say that's cooking.