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Huriken

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About Huriken

Profile Information

  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KAVC
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    South Hill, VA
  • Interests
    Weather, gaming

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  1. Huriken

    Apr 15 2018 severe weather thread

    Storm had intensified as it passed my area. Scary.
  2. Huriken

    2018 General Severe Weather

    Current Day 3 SPC outlook: SPC AC 130703 Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0203 AM CDT Fri Apr 13 2018 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST... ...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING NORTH INTO THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC... ...SUMMARY... Strong thunderstorms, some severe, will spread across the Southeast and parts of the Middle Atlantic Sunday. ...Discussion... Significant large-scale forcing is expected to spread across portions of the Southeast and Middle Atlantic region during the day3 period as strong mid-level flow translates into this region. Latest model guidance suggest a pronounced surface front will surge into GA/FL Panhandle early in the period then into the lee of the Appalachians Sunday evening. Frontal forcing is expected to aid a significant squall line along the wind shift as it advances east, aided by mid-level height falls. Strong shear profiles will support organized updrafts but the primary storm mode should be linear due to frontal forcing. Greatest buoyancy is expected to extend as far north as southern GA into coastal SC and there is some concern that a few discrete storms could evolve ahead of the front across this region. Have focused 15% severe probs for areas of potentially more instability where isolated supercells may evolve in addition to a linear MCS. Farther north across the Middle Atlantic, low severe probs should suffice where forecast buoyancy is expected to be considerably weaker. Even so, a strongly sheared forced squall line should advance across portions of NC/VA. Damaging winds are the primary threat with this convection. ..Darrow.. 04/13/2018
  3. Huriken

    2018 General Severe Weather

    The NAM seems to be very bullish for Sunday's event. Taken verbatim, anything that develops ahead of the squall line would certainly be capable of producing tornadoes.
  4. Huriken

    2018 General Severe Weather

    D4 severe risk for VA down into FL Day 4-8 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0336 AM CDT Thu Apr 12 2018 Valid 151200Z - 201200Z ...DISCUSSION... Latest runs of the medium-range models are exhibiting fairly considerable differences from one another with eastward progression of an eastern U.S. cold front Day 4/Sunday. The differences in handling of synoptic features become even more pronounced beyond, as the next Pacific trough enters/crosses the U.S. in the Day 5-8 time frame. Despite the Day 4 variability in the models, it is apparent that an ongoing line/band of storms will progress steadily eastward across the Appalachians early in the day, and then continue east across the Atlantic Coast states. While warm-sector instability remains a substantial uncertainty -- in part due to variability in the speed of the frontal advance toward the coast -- the kinematic environment will support organized convection. As such, will introduce a 15% area extending from parts of Virginia south to Florida, with damaging wind likely to be the predominant severe risk until frontal convection moves offshore.
  5. Huriken

    2018 General Severe Weather

    SEL8 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 18 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1240 PM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Southeast Georgia Coastal South Carolina Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 1240 PM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible SUMMARY...Scattered to numerous storms are expected to develop across the coastal plain this afternoon ahead of a cold front. Some of these should be severe with a risk for tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles south southeast of Waycross GA to 55 miles north northeast of Charleston SC. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 17... AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector 25035. ...Grams
  6. Huriken

    2018 General Severe Weather

    SEL7 URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Tornado Watch Number 17 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1020 AM EDT Tue Mar 20 2018 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Tornado Watch for portions of Northern and central Florida Far southeast Georgia Coastal Waters * Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1020 AM until 700 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events to 2.5 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely SUMMARY...Scattered severe storms are expected through this afternoon, capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles either side of a line from 60 miles west northwest of Jacksonville FL to 35 miles west southwest of Avon Park FL. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. && AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector 26035.
  7. Huriken

    3/19/18 Dixie Alley severe outbreak

    00z NAM 3km has much of AL in 3+ STP values, wow. Tomorrow lookin' pretty dangerous if the NAM is anything to go by. Central AL sounding:
  8. Huriken

    1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    5" so far in South Hill.
  9. Huriken

    1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    4 inches and it's still coming down in South Hill
  10. Huriken

    1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    Snowing at a pretty good rate here in South Hill. Looks like I've already got 2 inches!
  11. Huriken

    2018 General Severe Weather

    Just thought I'd put this here... https://mobile.twitter.com/NWSWakefieldVA/status/953365789930909698
  12. Huriken

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 944 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 VAZ065-066-079-171045- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WW.Y.0004.180117T0800Z-180117T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KAKQ.WS.W.0002.180117T0800Z-180117T2300Z/ Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Brunswick- Including the cities of South Hill and Lawrenceville 944 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY... The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a Winter Storm Warning for portions of south central Virginia, which is in effect from 3 AM to 6 PM EST Wednesday. The Winter Weather Advisory is no longer in effect. * WHAT...Snow expected...heavy at times. Plan on slippery road conditions, including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 5 inches are expected. * WHERE...Portions of south central Virginia. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 6 PM EST Wednesday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Be prepared for reduced visibilities at times.
  13. Huriken

    1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    33°F with a DP of 25°F and humidity at 72% here in South Hill
  14. Huriken

    1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    44 and sunny in South Hill
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