BlunderStorm
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2018 North Atlantic tropical storm / hurricane season forecast contest
BlunderStorm replied to Roger Smith's topic in Tropical Headquarters
17/9/4 May: 1/0/0 June: 1/0/0 July: 2/1/0 August: 4/2/1 September: 5/4/2 October: 3/2/1 Nov-Dec: 1/0/0 -
Yeah, it goes from a subtropical storm to a Cat 2 hurricane overnight!
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ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 740 AM EDT Thu May 24 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad, stationary surface low pressure system centered over the southeastern Yucatan Peninsula is gradually becoming better defined. Although showers and thunderstorms, along with strong gusty winds, are confined primarily to the adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea, gradual development of this system is expected during the next couple of days as it drifts northward near the Yucatan Peninsula. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development through early next week, and a subtropical or tropical depression is likely to form by late Saturday over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week. In addition, the threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast from Florida westward to Louisiana over Memorial Day weekend. For more information on these threats, please see products issued by your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system will be issued by 200 PM EDT this afternoon. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Forecaster Stewart
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A 10% chance within 2 days and a 70% chance within 5 days as of now.
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It went down to 28 on Monday and was 34 Tuesday morning. May 1st marks the final frost here. The 2017-18 seasonal snow total was 23.32"
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It reached a low of 28 here some snow remains from yesterday but is quickly disappearing. I don't mind cold temperatures but it would be good to see the trees green once again sooner rather than later.
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A good dusting of snow has settled on the ground in the past 40 minutes. At times the snow fell pretty heavily and during the snowfall the temperatures dropped from 34 to 29 as of now. 1 or 2 more squalls and I may have something measurable. I might post a few pictures later but I have to compress them first. What a wild spring!
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37 now with "mix" showers coming through. The top of Big A mountain is white. (The mountain on my cover photo.)
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A few snow flakes are flying outside in Honaker at the moment. It has to end soon, today is most likely the last snow of the season although there is the small likelihood of snow on the 20th. Beyond that taking my own words with a grain of salt I think we are in the clear for winter weather til October barring nuclear winter, a catastrophic volcanic eruption, or some other major unforeseen event that would affect our weather. I was conflicted over whether or not a trace of snow counted if it was only falling with nothing sticking but after reading over the definition it in fact does seem to be. Fortunately whenever it did snow it did at the very least stick for a time for me to record it as a trace so my records remained legitimate up until the last event a week ago which I only listed as a trace after the fact.
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The total rainfall for today was 2.22 inches. Currently the temperature is 45 and is dropping quickly.
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
BlunderStorm replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ok, this has to be the last winter threat...right? It seems like a decent NW flow event at a glance. 80 and snow! This is my kind of week! -
It was just a little too warm to snow this morning currently it is 35 with a mix of rain and snow without any accumulation. Still it is nice to see flakes flying when its cold.
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I would say at the most a dusting occurred here before melting off the ground but to see snowfall this late was really something and to top it off it may spit some more snow Monday morning.
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It would seem the snow redevelopment has expanded into Tennessee as of right now moderate snow is falling and sticking on the grass! Currently it is 32.
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Spring/Summer 2018 Mid to Long Term Discussion.
BlunderStorm replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Oh I should have kept my mouth shut the weather models pulled the carpet out from under us big time. By the time this *possible* near non-event is over it may have very well teased 4 sub-forums in the process. It is April though so what are you going to do. If there is some light at the end of the tunnel (if you even want it to snow at this point) it's that I noticed some redevelopment on radar along the KY-VA line seemingly extending into Tennessee about where John is although I wouldn't get my hopes up.