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About Jonathan

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    SWVA SE Forum Outcast
  • Birthday 04/16/1988

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    Bassett, VA (1,214 ft)
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  1. At least for southern VA, the precip is beginning to fill back in to the south and west. Several more hours of freezing drizzle look possible, which would accrue much faster than the heavy batch that came through this morning. The upper energy is still way out west. Plus we still have the evening batch of freezing rain. Don't think we're out of the woods at all yet.
  2. Soundings still scream ZR though. Would really love a sleet storm but just don't see it happening.
  3. I honestly hate even looking at any maps for this one. It's like getting punched in the gut while I'm still reeling from the left hook from Friday-Saturday. Lot of folks here still without power. We're in the bullseye yet again. Praying for more sleet or at least heavier rain so it'll be harder to accumulate. Feels helpless basically KNOWING I'm gonna get clocked and there's nothing I can do about it. Can't even find any generators around here. Contemplated going to the OBX, as I'm off work Thursday thru Monday anyway.
  4. Absolutely. I'm at 53, forecast high was 48, HRRR showed 48 for me currently. Think a lot of folks expecting snow are going to be in the whining thread, myself included, tonight!
  5. Baby step in the right direction for the NAM, more precip but a long way from the HRRR/GFS/etc.
  6. Dang, already on to our next failure.
  7. Well there's your 200+ mile north shift on the GFS. Congrats Maryland!
  8. With the 0z/6z model suite, inside 36 hours, Virginia has been taken completely out of play. Absolutely unprecedented 100+ mile SOUTH shift on every single model. Congratulations GA, SC and NC. Unreal.
  9. I'm calling convective feedback issues here.
  10. Not sure why this isn't translating to precip on the GFS.
  11. The SREF mean for Martinsville went from 1.81" at 9z to to 2.75" at 15z. Almost a full inch. Danville went from 1.62 to 2.63, just over a full inch.
  12. Jamey Singleton on Twitter: "This doesn't make sense to me. But it's off the same model (GFS). The Euro does it, too. Brings the moisture and dynamics in, with nothing to show as a result. I'm not buying those snow amounts. #vawx #ncwx" / Twitter Interesting tweet from a local met here in southern VA.