Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Oof yea GFS is DOA for 12z. I would love to use the excuse of convective feedback but that is probably pulling at straws at this point.
  2. I’ll honestly believe it when I see it even down in ROA for my backyard.
  3. Do it!! I’m not sure I ended the season above 2” total so let’s bring some good juju early on.
  4. 12/9/2018 last time I had something decent early around here
  5. How much would it take for everyone to have a meh rest of the year if Monday came to fruition and over performed? Be honest
  6. Man that’s a nasty looking band over FLL and Boca up into West Palm
  7. This has my attention this go around, as my parents literally just relocated from Charleston SC to Naples within the past 3 weeks. Curious to get everyone’s thoughts as to what, if any disruption Cuba does to this thing before it re-emerges back into the Atlantic/Gulf. Me thinks we’re in for a surprise (just gut feeling) nothing scientific or meteorologically speaking.
  8. 10+ years of living in Roanoke can’t say I ever recall seeing Tropical Storm warnings and local hurricane statement products issued. Pretty wild. Gusts to 47 tomorrow for my area.
  9. @CAPE @nj2va @yoda if you guys could choose would you prefer a front loaded or back loaded winter if given the opportunity to pick?
  10. Tropical Cyclone Researcher. Have no idea how much validity he holds but interesting to say the least.
  11. Storm down approximately 5.2mb last 2.75 hrs so roughly 2mb/hr. Pretty impressive.
  12. Thought this article was interesting to have people understand the cyan ring. [6] After examining many 37color images of the entire life cycle of TCs, we hypothesize that the first appearance of a well‐defined cyan color ring pattern in the inner core immediately surrounding the warm center is associated with RI. The purpose of this study is to test this hypothesis. Using the 37color images collected for 84 named TCs during 2003–2007 hurricane seasons in the North Atlantic basin, the ring pattern is searched for within each satellite overpass that captures the TC inner core. The following criteria are used to define a ring pattern: 1) It immediately surrounds the warm center of the developing TC; 2) It is symmetric (round) and should be at least 90% closed (not a partial ring); 3) The minimum thickness between the inner and outer edges of the ring should be at least one‐fourth of the diameter of the outer edges; 4) The ring should consist of mostly solid bright cyan and not a faded cyan; 5) Part of the ring could be pink (intense convection overlaying cyan ring).
  13. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=meso-meso1-truecolor-200-1-10-1&checked=latlon-map-glm_flash&colorbar=undefined should have lightning enabled to see some of the crazy amount of discharges occurring.
  14. Posted this in banter but was actually very intrigued to hear some responses from all you knowledgeable peeps. Felt like it was appropriate considering it directly had to do with the cane itself. Two questions. 1. Anyone care to guess what some of those cumulonimbi tops are in this ring wrapping around the center? 2. Anyone with aviation knowledge know what the p3 and other weather aircraft are programmed with or what is installed in the cone of the planes to avoid direct lightning strikes or how it is “safe” and I use that word laughing flying into something like this?
  15. Hey guys! Two questions. 1. Anyone care to guess what some of those cumulonimbi tops are in this ring wrapping around the center? 2. Anyone with aviation knowledge know what the p3 and other weather aircraft are programmed with or what is installed in the cone of the planes to avoid direct lightning strikes or how it is “safe” and I use that word laughing flying into something like this?
  16. Tried posting a pic however my phone is being dumb. What you alluded to looks like there is a solid band of -80 on the southern/sw end of the storm maintaining. The band continues to wrap around now approaching the northern portion. Also appears to be a pinpoint of -60 to -70 around the LLC that had strengthened and possibly pushed some of that “drier air” out to help the processes on the western end. Looks like all systems go once that transpires. Interested to see how she looks by 2100-2200 hrs.
  17. Nice pickup! Both the North and south quadrant of the 925 and 850mb
  18. Man! Down to 958 in a 30 hr span. 938 approaching the TX coast.
  19. They should be there next 40-50 min. Departed from (LAL) Lakeland Airport. I’m thinking the center should be able to dodge the more mountainous terrain. Maybe to the SW of Havana?
  20. Does the ADT adj T# being up to 3.4 mean anything without a solidified inner core?
  21. Man the thunderstorms exploding over the western and southern portion of the LLC are incredible on that shot! Great stuff