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Buddy1987

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Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    Sigh..
  2. Buddy1987
    500 this does look better thus far at 78 with the western trough axis over western Montana getting more diggy
  3. Buddy1987
    There’s no telling with that thing LOL
  4. Buddy1987
    Nothing like a powerhouse 1051 HP sliding down into Montana at hr 63 on the Nam. That thing means business. This incoming airmass starting next week is something else seeing some of the projected highs toward next weekend
  5. Buddy1987
    Because if anything other guidance has trended NW. Believe me I get it could very well end up being correct but there’s a reason WPC labeled it as an outlier. You can see the western trough axis is quite a bit different between the GFS and EURO so it logically makes sense why it would be more southeast. Guess we’re gonna find out who blinks first.
  6. Buddy1987
    Head scratching.. would’ve thought with other guidance it would trend slightly better. Going the opposite way here.
  7. Buddy1987
    LOL! GFS will be in Bermuda next run and CMC will be in Buffalo at this rate. All joking aside a lot to figure out with multiple pieces on the board as others have alluded to with cutter and then west coast. Hopefully tomorrow we will start to have some better agreement.
  8. Buddy1987
    We can blame mappy for making it seem like starting a thread for this storm or even mentioning it was no big deal. There’s our scapegoat lol
  9. Buddy1987
    GFS taking it’s sweet time coming out tonight
  10. Buddy1987
    No for sure I was just being funny the way we’ve flipped back and forth here last couple days. Got an unfortunate sneaky suspicion euro will end up scoring the coup.
  11. Buddy1987
    Watch the 0z gfs cave to the euro today but then the 0z euro show the 18z gfs solution haha! Nothing surprises me anymore
  12. Buddy1987
    Yea I noticed at 57 on Nam compared to gfs the whole setup at 500 was better so that’s a good start to the night
  13. Buddy1987
    Confluence slightly better once again.
  14. Buddy1987
    P14 or P29 ftw
  15. Buddy1987
    Alright alright let’s see some clown maps for shits and giggles
  16. Buddy1987
    I’ve always been taught that op is more or less good for within 5-7 day lead time and to take with a grain of salt beyond that, only to compare differences or similarities to the ensembles. I like how Heisy remains polite about his opinion and gives some meteorological ideas and reasonings behind it as well. Great job to everyone providing insight and analysis in here. Always appreciated.
  17. Buddy1987
    I can confirm this as well. Moderate freezing rain with a temp of 31 and a heavier band pushing in. Trees starting to get caked.
  18. Buddy1987
    30.0/23.9 SW VA temp has dropped pretty steady down here last 90 min or so.
  19. Buddy1987
    Great post! I do feel like with cad setup here Nam does have some superiority or at least some credibility for 850s and 2m specifically. Everything else is really a crapshoot as to what it shows (or what it doesn’t sometimes haha)
  20. Buddy1987
    That’s a really cool map. You can see the wind barbs feel the effect of the northerly component to the cad. What I would give to have some of the air with the dews up north of VT/NH/ME
  21. Buddy1987
    Yea but even half is still not good at all. Normally we’re 60 the day before a freezing rain event. It’s been cold today and tomorrow leading into the event. I just feel like it will surprise some.
  22. Buddy1987
    Verbatim NAM is a lot more snow up that way with only a glaze of ice.
  23. Buddy1987
    Yea def.. looked at pivotal .74 for ROA, .71 CHO area.. .30” plus Culpepper and up 81 Harrisonburg etc all smoked with ice totals.
  24. Buddy1987
    I’m more interested in the thermals with it to see how it handles the cad and it didn’t disappoint tonight.
  25. Buddy1987
    WOOF!!! .74 ice accumulation for ROA .71 for CHO.. that happens lights out Winchester/Clarke/Warren/Woodstock smoked with over 7”
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