Jump to content

Buddy1987

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    4,511

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Buddy1987

  1. Buddy1987
    One of these models is going to epically fail here. GFS and RGEM and really HRRR have been consistently dropping the front end hammer. NAM and some of the short term high res models, along with EURO are insistent on a much quicker flip and almost deadly dang freezing rain in a sense, based on some of the storm totals.
  2. Buddy1987
    You ain't kidding man. I literally passed out on the couch last night and it was only like 9:20. Early for me.
  3. Buddy1987
    Euro go out enough yet to confirm it shows something as well for next weekend?
  4. Buddy1987
    Good lord!! What a doozy that would be. If we could lock in 2-3ft I would literally sign on a dotted line to forego snow the next two years. That would be beyond epic to have happen.
  5. Buddy1987
    I can't even help but look past this storm when both the CMC and GFS now show this behemoth. What a pounding.
  6. Buddy1987
    @Bob Chillif the RGEM is believable it is an absolute beatdown and has been for multiple runs in a row down here. I've always known it to be a cold-er outlier though so NAM would probably be more believable regarding thermals.
  7. Buddy1987
    RGEM looks nice too starting at 36 hr.
  8. Buddy1987
    2'' of qpf and a sleet bomb is hard to picture as to what that even looks like outside. Pretty wild stuff.
  9. Buddy1987
    FV3 looks much nicer than the Nam's. Good bit colder though, although idk if that's a bias it has or not.
  10. Buddy1987
    To your point FV3 has a much more uniform precip shield entering the western mountains around 3ish tomorrow pm. Does FV3 tend to run colder though? Do you know?
  11. Buddy1987
    Def implying a mega dry slot happens around hr 54. I still think anything outside minimum 36 hours is outside it's wheelhouse if it even has one anymore.
  12. Buddy1987
    Sleet line really accelerating between hrs 42-45 northbound.
  13. Buddy1987
    NAM seemed cooler earlier on but it's really accelerating the sleet line north now by hrs 42-45
  14. Buddy1987
    So far with the 12Z Nam I like the trajectory of the precip inbound at 28hrs. HP in a slightly better position as well. Light returns trying to spill over the mountains. 5h also looks different in a good way as well to back up surface reflection.
  15. Buddy1987
    I can honestly say i'm not sure since I moved to VA in 2011 i've ever seen a dew point map with readings that low. That is incredible.
  16. Buddy1987
    I'm dead serious when I ask this? Is HRRR ever right? The WAA push looks really nice for southern areas between 3-5pm tomorrow verbatim on the model? I never follow it enough so I have no clue how it performs.
  17. Buddy1987
    HRRR is wayyyy out there right now. More accuracy would exist much closer to game time.
  18. Buddy1987
    1/2” qpf with those temps and with what I’m sure will be meatballs flowing down from the gods should help to stack up quick before any changeover. RGEM and GFS minimum were bringing it in hot and heavy.
  19. Buddy1987
    I just got back from our local Kroger. It’s like a damn war zone in there!
  20. Buddy1987
    @WxUSAFdid gfs receive an upgrade? It usually sucks at cad. Normally it’d be ramming the primary up into Erie PA by now.
  21. Buddy1987
    This is accurate. Even the slowly decaying NAM ancient motherboard showed a super late phaser that isn’t necessarily wrong. It is plausible as to what it depicted.
  22. Buddy1987
    Doesn’t it make the most logical sense though? Cold dense air redirecting a dying primary?
  23. Buddy1987
    Surface verbatim starts as all snow NC/VA bordering counties north at 60.
  24. Buddy1987
    Southern crew likes. Northern crew not going to be happy thus far.
  25. Buddy1987
    RGEM juice bomb forming at 36
×
×
  • Create New...