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  1. Best it's looked in 24 hour or so.
  2. msuwx

    March 24/25 Overrunning Disturbance

    The occurrence of sleet, such as around Charlotte, was expected and doesn’t really mean anything one way or another as far as the eventual outcome tonight. The sleet pellets are largely due to evaporation aloft.
  3. msuwx

    March 12th-13th ULL Discussion

    Yep.... it's tied to precip intensity. US 52 and I 40 were/ are very slushy when heavier snow occurs. March sun does its think when rates diminish.
  4. msuwx

    1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    The western metro is driving me crazy. Gastonia only around 0.5" to at most 1".
  5. msuwx

    January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    The combination of the dynamics kicking into high gear slightly too late as well as this bone dry air is why you are seeing the models struggle to generate as much precipitation in the Triangle region. Look at that 900-ish layer as the precip approaches on the latest HRRR. Is it correct? Time will tell.
  6. msuwx

    January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    Nah, not the 12km at least. Underwhelming. It is a bit further west with the precipitation field, but nothing show-stopping so far.
  7. msuwx

    January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    Very much so. Think that would extend back to I-85 in NC and possibly SC if that run were extended out further in time.
  8. msuwx

    January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    SFC depiction of 6z RGEM vs 12z NAM at 12z Wednesday. RGEM very interesting.
  9. msuwx

    January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    850s as the system moves in. Would be some fantastic ratios.
  10. We’ve reached that point prior to a storm. In the end, we all know 9 times out of 10 Frosty winds up shoveling out a foot. Seriously though, all of this is within the noise range in this type of complex setup.
  11. It is kind of strung out, but Wyoming primarily
  12. Agreed. I think most want that second piece of energy depicted there to be the dominant one.
  13. Yeah, that is not a bad look for the NAM. Need the backside portion of that vorticity to dig down from there as it moves across the plains
  14. The disturbance we are concerned with is still in the Rockies at 84 hours on the Nam. The time period is not here yet.