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About msuwx

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  1. 1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    The western metro is driving me crazy. Gastonia only around 0.5" to at most 1".
  2. January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    The combination of the dynamics kicking into high gear slightly too late as well as this bone dry air is why you are seeing the models struggle to generate as much precipitation in the Triangle region. Look at that 900-ish layer as the precip approaches on the latest HRRR. Is it correct? Time will tell.
  3. January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    Nah, not the 12km at least. Underwhelming. It is a bit further west with the precipitation field, but nothing show-stopping so far.
  4. January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    Very much so. Think that would extend back to I-85 in NC and possibly SC if that run were extended out further in time.
  5. January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    SFC depiction of 6z RGEM vs 12z NAM at 12z Wednesday. RGEM very interesting.
  6. January 3-4 Storm Thread part II

    850s as the system moves in. Would be some fantastic ratios.
  7. We’ve reached that point prior to a storm. In the end, we all know 9 times out of 10 Frosty winds up shoveling out a foot. Seriously though, all of this is within the noise range in this type of complex setup.
  8. It is kind of strung out, but Wyoming primarily
  9. Agreed. I think most want that second piece of energy depicted there to be the dominant one.
  10. Yeah, that is not a bad look for the NAM. Need the backside portion of that vorticity to dig down from there as it moves across the plains
  11. The disturbance we are concerned with is still in the Rockies at 84 hours on the Nam. The time period is not here yet.
  12. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2017

    Here you go: https://m.youtube.com/user/meast3 Also, @eastwx on Twitter
  13. Yep.... huge ice storm for N GA, much of NW 2/3rds of SC, southern, central NC....