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About ragtop50

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  1. I was just looking at that, worth keeping an eye on it.
  2. Looks like the 2020 Mid to long term thread has been started !
  3. Purely from an educational standpoint (to help me and others learn), why would the below scenario depicted by the NAM not be showing more frozen precip in NC and VA? We always here a low off/near the coast just to our SE with a HP just to our north is the perfect setup. I realize the NAM may be off base here (and that it is the NAM at hour 84), but with what it is showing, why is the setup all or mostly rain? Is it because the HP to the north is not strong or cold enough? enough?
  4. I want to think this is caused by cycles with our weather, certainly history has shown periods like this before? I hope to see the some of the good winter storms of past to return one day. They are even more rare for my area (Fayetteville/Linden), but we can get some good snow from the right setup.
  5. But the Atlantic can also be the reason we can score a big one...coastal storms. I have lived in central NC my whole life, and the best snows have been due to a coastal storm as it rides up the coast. But in agreement, probably more times than not, it is that source for the warm air surging inland and turning everything to rain.
  6. I thought Wilmington received 26" of rain with Florence last year? I know that was over multiple days but I would have thought the daily record would have been shattered during Florence?
  7. This /\ /\ made all the difference with Matthew (as far as heaviest precip being on the west side). I live near Fayetteville, NC and watched what that can do first hand
  8. It was caused by interaction with convergence to it's west (can't remember if it was a trough or what was approaching) and that enhanced the rainfall on the west side of the storm. Some areas inland received much more rain than coastal areas.
  9. 8 a.m. update has Dorian moving to the NW at 1 MPH 000 WTNT35 KNHC 031150 TCPAT5 BULLETIN Hurricane Dorian Intermediate Advisory Number 40A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052019 800 AM EDT Tue Sep 03 2019 ...EYE OF DORIAN BEGINNING TO INCH NORTHWESTWARD... ...SOUTHERN EYEWALL CONTINUES TO POUND GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND... SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...27.1N 78.4W ABOUT 40 MI...70 KM NE OF FREEPORT GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND ABOUT 110 MI...175 KM ENE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 1 MPH...2 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.11 INCHES
  10. With gusts over 200 mph ! Strongest hurricane on record this far north in the Atlantic
  11. No big deal for Florida maybe, but was disastrous up here in the central/eastern Carolinas for flooding. A slow moving hurricane up the coast is definitely not a better outcome
  12. Dewpoints are inching up. Low humidity been the good and the bad about our heat so far...it does give relief in the shade and when there is a breeze, but it is drying everything up so fast.
  13. 100 here in Fayetteville yet again. Dewpoints aren't so bad through