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About ragtop50

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  1. ragtop50

    Hurricane Florence

    I have been communicating with my brother in Wilmington, and it is BAD in that area. He has never seen flooding this bad in that area, and he has been through many hurricanes down there.
  2. ragtop50

    Florence Observations

    11.8" of rain here in northern Cumberland County (Linden), just north of Fayetteville. Several trees down in a low wet area behind my house. No power now for just over 48 hours. I spoke with my brother in Wilmington and it is BAD down there, he is stuck where he is at home as there is flooding within a half mile of him in either direction.
  3. ragtop50

    Florence Observations

    Wind gusts just picked up big time here north of Fayetteville. A few trees down and some tops of trees taken out. Worst winds yet from Florence here
  4. ragtop50

    Florence Observations

    Just over 2" of rain here so far just north of Fayetteville, NC (Linden). About right as forecast calls for 2 to 3 inches today, 4"+ tonight, and 4"+ tomorrow.
  5. ragtop50

    Florence Observations

    Getting some strong and more frequent gusts here just north of Fayetteville as we get on the north side of the storm. Been without power since 1 a.m.
  6. ragtop50

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    at 8 PM, NHC calling the movement NW at 5 mph
  7. ragtop50

    Hurricane Florence

    The shear is still forecast to subside
  8. ragtop50

    Major Hurricane Florence: STORM MODE THREAD

    In the 11 a.m. NHC discussion: The shortwave trough over the southern Plains seen in water vapor imagery could end up being a significant factor as it rounds the narrow ridge over the Tennessee Valley and is expected to erode the ridge along the U.S. mid-Atlantic coast on days 3-5. At this time, little change has been made to the NHC track forecast, which remains very close to the aforementioned consensus aids through 72 hours. Would this mean a possible north or NW adjustment of the tracks for days 3-5? Just looking for some explanation as to what the result of the trough eroding the ridge would have.
  9. ragtop50

    Hurricane Florence

    That is from the 5 a.m. discussion
  10. ragtop50

    Hurricane Florence

  11. ragtop50

    Apr 15 2018 severe weather thread

    Latest from NWS which aligns with the map above
  12. ragtop50

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    Only had time for a quick glance but now the 6Z looks more suppressed and weaker
  13. ragtop50

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    I agree, so back off on the snow shields again!
  14. ragtop50

    Potential 1/17-1/18 threat

    Wow, what a first post !
  15. ragtop50

    1/16-1/17 Event OBS

    Looks like this band will benefit us down here as well