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mstr4j

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About mstr4j

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    GSP
  • Location:
    Spartanburg, SC

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  1. mstr4j

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Left Landrum several hours ago and it was pouring snow and drove up 85 and it was rain and freezing rain. Finally switched over an hour ago and it’s piling up quick. Hope the HRR will be good to me till around 6AM and a nice snow is on the ground - Doubt I’ll sleep tonight until I hear the sleet coming down in which I’ll cry myself to sleep - Haha!
  2. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Guessing it takes longer to come East up 85 - sitting on the northern eastside of Spartanburg county - all signals seem to be pointing at an ice storm for our area, we shall see
  3. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    I agree that any accumulation could be bad but don't bank on those totals actually accumulating. No where near cold enough at surface, should be raining heavy at times which minimizes accretion
  4. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Our temperatures in the upstate along 85 have hardly budged. Looking at 42-43 with a DP in the upper 30's. Been reports of light sleet and wet snow north into Inman and Landrum. Banking on the HP doing its thing later this evening to really cool down the surface temps.
  5. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    absolutely - I work up that way and told many that a potential huge snow was coming their way - I'm probably 10-12 miles south and east of Landrum right on the I-85 corridor but luckily my area IMO is still considered Northern Upstate - it's such a sharp gradient in these locations! Hoping for a bigun!
  6. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Burrel I hope its right - My issue early on and even now are marginal temperatures at best. Many have talked about it being an issue in the upper levels but I think it is still a major deal on the surface. Temps did not get as cool last night as originally forcasted so even more radiant heat must be expelled. Us GSP-I-85 people understand how hard it is to get even the surface levels down to below freezing then mix in some upper level warmth from the low in the upper levels and it has potential bust written all over it. I'm no expert, don't claim to be just a redneck with a commonsense approach to figuring out what will hjappen in our area. We need to hope the HP funnels some cold air down in a hurry! And hopefully it will!! This is no shot at mets and professionals, what they do is hard, especially in this region. They all do a great job
  7. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Seems to me that GSP and Upstate struggling these past few runs - but it doesn't take but one to turn this babe around!
  8. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    This was the basis of my question earlier that I wasn't sure if someone answered it. It is of better hope that the global models pick up much better with the HP placement and strength while the NAM does better with the thermal profiling of the CAD once the HP is set in place? Also someone mentioned earlier that I wasn't sure if it had been answered. Is the fact the NAM is much closer to the event over the southern plains region should we use that model trend as a better gauge for what's going to happen in our neck of the woods. Or since it's a CAD event, the NAM's trending projections of the southern plains isn't as neccessary to what happens in the South East? Any input is appreciated, thanks!
  9. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Tony, though I act like a kid many times - I wish I still were - I'm a gradually wilting away adult that holds on to snow models that makes him feel young again! HAHA!
  10. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    I'm the weather guy at my school, granted not a good one, mainly the guy that tries to regurgitate all the information I read on here. Granted I am also the one that loves snow and I have seen the term giddy several times on here and I'm that times freaking 20. BUTTTTTT, dadgumit there's always a but - is it really possible for this to happen without WAA and everything Pack said? Who knows? Being the optimist, no one thought david could win either. #BeatGoliath #LetItFreakingSnow
  11. mstr4j

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    Long time avid reader and first question ever on this AWESOME forum. My question for you weather experts is this (I Hope it's not confusing as I am still learning) - I understand that the NAM does a much better job at predicting and forecasting CAD events much better than global models. My question is however, does the NAM do well with forecasting where the actual location of the HP will be, or only if the HP is actually there then it determines the strength of the wedge. Virtually as the event is closer is it actually better to watch the NAM as a higher resolution model that doesn't do well with actual forecasting of where that High will be orrrrrrrrr watch the global models position of that HP and then go with the NAM's thermal profile? Make sense? Either way, been a great time following this forum and this HUGEEEE Winter Weather Threat
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