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Upstate Tiger

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About Upstate Tiger

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Cherryville, NC

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  1. Winter 2017-2018 Recap (In Images & Photos)

    Great pics and data guys! My first winter in NC. Moved from Easley, SC in the upstate to Cherryville, NC last year. We had 3” with the December storm and 5” with January storm plus almost a week of sub freezing temps and an ice storm on super bowl Sunday. Better than I experienced in S.C. in last few years.
  2. March 24/25 Overrunning Disturbance

    Sleet and snow 38 in Cherryville. Pretty heavy rates over us right now. Didn’t expect anything here. We’re about 40 Miles SE of Hickory.
  3. March 24/25 Overrunning Disturbance

    Rode up to Boone. About 3” as of 330PM. Hard to believe we’re 3 days into spring and a week away from Easter.
  4. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    If we had the pattern we're having now back in January or February, we 'd be talking one epic month for many on this board! http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml
  5. March 2018 Obs

    Snow flurry in Gastonia as well.
  6. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    Here's the latest GSP AFD regarding this weekend's threat. Interesting that someone mentioned how it seems to snow a lot during the ACC tournament. I am 53 and it seemed like there was a lot of ice or snow at the ACC tournament every year when it was in Greensboro in the 70's and 80's. Maybe just my feeble memory but sure seemed like there was a WSW about every year when the tournament rolled around. .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 245 PM EST Monday: The fcst for the weekend sure looks interesting. After a break in the action Friday with flat upper ridging and high pressure moving across the southeast, moisture will begin to return from the Gulf and will spread across the region Friday night ahead of a weak surface low. Isentropic upglide may force the development of light precip overnight, and that is fcst to improve on Saturday as the sfc low organizes to the west. Precip prob rises into the likely range over the mtns by the end of the day, and keeps improving from there. The high precip chances continue Saturday night with the sfc low passing to the south Sunday morning while a deepening upper low approaches from the WNW. On that track, any severe weather chances would be confined to the coastal plain. Heavy rain might be a concern, but it is too early to mention in the HWO. Temps will rise back above normal at least on Saturday and into Sunday morning. The interesting stuff happens in the operational guidance on Sunday, with both models bringing the center of the upper low down across our region late in the day and off to the east Sunday night. The upper low center would be accompanied by very cold air aloft, also meaning very cold mid-level thickness and very steep lapse rates. Precip would/could change over to snow over the mtns early in the day, and then possibly change over to snow outside the mtns around sunset Sunday evening as the very cold air aloft moves overhead. The track and strength of the upper low is key. We have seen March snow events like this in the past, when a cold upper low moves directly overhead. That said, it is far too early to make significant changes to the fcst at this time, without seeing a few cycles of the GEFS, but a trend in a cooler direction will be started. So, for now, we will keep this idea on a back burner. Precip will stay mainly rain apart from the very highest elevations and temps will remain on the warm side. Stay tuned, though. Precip should taper off to the TN border area on Monday with more NW flow as the upper low goes on to induce another major sfc low offshore.
  7. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    I was just kidding but I had a co worker once who said in November that his deer hunting wasn’t going well because the time had changed and the deer were confused. He was a S.C. graduate.
  8. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    From GSP's Mid Range Forecast Discussion this morning..... Max Temps near normal Friday through Sunday then a couple degrees below normal Monday. It is interesting that the GFS gives our area a snowstorm late next week, but EC has us dry and warmer. Low chance of GFS being right. ......So you're saying there's a chance
  9. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    Let me go ahead and get this out of the way now regarding next week's potential........the sun angle is too high, the soil temp is too warm, the warm nose is too strong, there will be a dry slot, gulf thunderstorms will rob the moisture, no chance for anyone outside the mountains, and oh yeah the time changes next week so it will be daylight longer. Did I miss any?
  10. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    You can count on two things tanking every spring. One is Clemson basketball and the other is the NAO..... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml
  11. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    It's hard to believe how bad the NAO has been this winter. Geez, this is ugly.... http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml
  12. Super Bowl Sunday Storm 2/4-5

    Yep, meant to say for "some"
  13. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    Looks like a lot of uncertainty in the long range based on the language from GSP discussion. As others have said, what looked like a period of below normal temps and chances for winter storms seems somewhat in jeopardy. However, that doesn't mean the SE can't score a winter storm. The famous President's Day storm of 79 was sandwiched between two periods of above average temps... ome controversy over when the front will clear the area has materialized with the 00Z model cycle...with the GFS carrying a clean frontal passage and the ECMWF now lingering the back edge of the precip across the area through 12Z Thursday. Anyhow, clearing after 12Z Thursday is likely as another surface high is able to work its way into the forecast area. Very glad the forecast doesn`t extend past next Friday as the model disagreement even in just the upper pattern is significant. Temperatures will be near average Tuesday, well above average Wednesday ahead of the approaching front, and near to just below average again on Thursday as the front exits the area.
  14. Super Bowl Sunday Storm 2/4-5

    GSP going with at least advisory level threat for Sunday morning..... http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
  15. Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    Link below to GSP forecast discussion for those interested. Pretty similar to RAH with "lots of uncertainty" language which is to be expected. http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off