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Upstate Tiger

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About Upstate Tiger

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Cherryville, NC

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  1. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    Snippet from the CPC Dec 20 - 26 Outlook "A split in the westerlies aloft is anticipated over the CONUS during Week-2. The southern stream in particular will need to be monitored for the possible development of a significant surface cyclone late in Week-2."
  2. Upstate Tiger

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Picked up more from sleet than I thought. Measured 4.5 in Cherryville. About 2.5” of that was snow overnight.
  3. Upstate Tiger

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Yep. From obs seems Meck did better than us. It’s all good though. Glad for those that cashed in. Suspect this is not our last storm this season
  4. Upstate Tiger

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Woke up to 2” of snow overnight. 31 and moderate sleet right now. Winds really whipping. Living at northern tip of Gaston County near border with Lincoln and Cleveland I thought we’d be in the 6” - 12” range. Wise to pay attention to NAM inside 48 hrs. Can’t say I’m disappointed though. I’m 53 and can count on 1 hand number of winter storms I’ve experienced before Christmas. Now heading out to sled with grandson!
  5. Upstate Tiger

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Finally changed to all snow in Cherryville. Temp been holding at 36 for about 4 hours. I’m 25 miles west of Gastonia.
  6. Upstate Tiger

    December 8-10 Winter Storm Obs

    Just went over to moderate sleet and 36 in Cherryville. Piling up pretty fast on the deck. Looking at southeastern radar is that a dry slot forming over Mississippi? I’m guessing the area of precipitation over Texas is the ULL?
  7. Upstate Tiger

    December 8-10, 2018 Winter Storm

    For those interested, here is the AFD from KGSP: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
  8. Upstate Tiger

    November 2018 Observations

    32 and freezing rain in Cherryville. I am about 15 miles northeast of Shelby. Started as rain around 7. Temp reached 32 about 11. No sleet here.
  9. Upstate Tiger

    November 2018 Observations

    Cold rain and 39 in Cherryville this morning. Started off at 36. Thought we might see a little sleet at the onset but not to be.
  10. Upstate Tiger

    Griteater's Winter Outlook (18-19)

    Good stuff Grit.
  11. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    Surprised early next week is not generating a little more discussion. At least fun to have something to keep an eye on before Thanksgiving! In these parts that's a rare thing.... From GSP AFD: A reinforcing short wave is currently depicted by long range models help deepen a long wave trough over the Central U.S. early next week. Surface low pressure is expected to develop along the tail end of a stalled front along the northern Gulf of Mexico and ride northeastward somewhere into the Southeast US in advance of the deepening trough over the Central US. This setup can be favorable for winter weather across portions of the FA (especially mtns). However, it will still only be mid November and cold enough air for wintry precipitation can be difficult to come by. As of now increasing precipitation early next week looks to be mainly in liquid form except for possibly the highest mountain elevations. The unsettled weather will likely support below normal temps early next week with even colder conditions possible in the wake of this storm system just beyond the current seven day forecast.
  12. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2018

    From the GSP AFD......Well that escalated quickly considering where we were just 10 days ago. Of course it is late October so not all that unusual for the mountains. Sure would have been nice to have this Miller A in January. What a classic set up. There may be just enough cold air at the highest elevations to mix with or turn to snow at times, especially at the beginning and end of the event. Little or no accumulations are expected through Saturday.
  13. Upstate Tiger

    Hurricane Michael

    It’s actually not unusual to have a Gulf landfalling hurricane impact upstate SC. 10 years ago when I worked for Greenville County we were working on our Hazard Vulnerabilty Assessment and we looked at the impacts of hurricanes on the upstate. Using historical data from the NWS we studied every named tropical system that had passed within 50 miles of downtown Greenville, SC. Amazingly almost all were from Gulf landfalling hurricanes. Very few were Atlantic landfalling hurricanes. That probably does not hold true for NC but for the upstate of SC, Gulf hurricanes have presented the greatest threat. Of course, to your point, I would bet few if any were still TS when they passed near Greenville.
  14. Upstate Tiger

    Hurricane Michael

    GSP has nice AFD on Michael In terms of the winds, being that Michael has made landfall as a category four storm, there is some concern that the traditional model guidance may be spinning the storm down too quickly, thus under-doing the inland winds. This is always a very tough forecast, and the Tropical Storm Warning that was issued earlier for our southern tier of zones was mainly done to accommodate the tropical storm wind probability info from NHC. The other wind-related concern is the potential for hybrid convective gusts associated with any intense rain bands, which could easily produce occasional 50 mph (or greater) winds. Thus, while our official forecast doesn`t really support the headlines, the uncertainty regarding the intensity of the cyclone and the potential for occasional higher end wind gusts warrants continuation of the Tropical Storm Warning. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=GSP&product=AFD&format=ci&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
  15. Upstate Tiger

    Searching for Fall

    Snow pack is building nicely over the Northern Rockies and Northern Plains in the next week or so. Models hinting at some moderation in temps in the Southeast around the 15th. Hope that doesn't get pushed back. Ready for some fall temps. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php