Upstate Tiger

Wouldn't that cool and moisten the column and potentially give us a better front end thump of snow? I know I'm grasping...

30 straight hours of precip for NC.

Quickly goes over to ice but closer to GFS

Euro with a little front end snow at 60 for NC

Euro and GFS surface reflections look very similar at 54 with timing and precip types.

I knew this thing would correct back to the SE…oh crap. That’s next weekend.

After this cluster I am not looking at any models for next weekend until next Thursday...BTW, Do you happen to have a snowfall map of next weekend?

Given the alternatives, I would prefer what the GFS is showing for NC. More sleet, less freezing rain.

He's probably taking his talking points from the mets at GSP. I was on a regional call this morning with EM, healthcare, utilities etc and the forecasters at GSP were painting a pretty grim picture for this weekend using words like "memorable storm" and "devastating impacts." They seemed pretty concerned. Maybe after Helene they just want everyone to take the threat serious. We're looking at this as amateurs (except the red tags) but those guys GSP are pros and have to make high stakes forecasts.

NAM with precip on NC's doorstep at 15Z Saturday. That's faster onset.

Just went out a couple of hours ago to get one of my LP tanks filled/exchanged, grab a few groceries, and get some gas. Mission was unsuccessful. If you don’t have it by now, you ain’t gettin it.

Best GFS run in 24 hours. For NC snow on the front, sleet, and then snow on the backend.

Yeah really hoping to see precip work it's away into the Carolinas earlier than what NAM is showing but there are some positives and we are still at the end of the NAM's range and reliability.

NAM surface at 75

Yeah I don’t know what we were thinking. We’re not in Pensacola where they get 8”-10” of all snow.