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Upstate Tiger

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About Upstate Tiger

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Cherryville, NC

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  1. Upstate Tiger

    April 2nd 2019 Possible Flizzard Discussion&Obs

    Snowing in Gastonia. Large flakes.
  2. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    "Do not seek the treasure!"
  3. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    You know this season seemed to have so much promise. We seemed to have all the right players in place. Most of the experts predicted a rockin January, February and even March. After sitting pretty during the first week in December, the season never seemed to get back on track. We were told things would turn around in January. Then we were told things would turn around in February. Finally, we were told that March would be our month. Mercifully, NC State ended the Clemson basketball season today!
  4. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    You guys better watch it or Burns will put you on Double Secret Probation.
  5. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor????
  6. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Not good trends today for sure but still far from being settled. Below is long term AFD from GSP: At the surface, a low pressure system develops to our west on Sunday in response to the digging trough. Moisture and precip spread back into the area as the low moves east. However, the ECMWF is stronger, wetter, and farther north with the surface low. Therefore, it shows little in the way of wintry precip until the low pulls away on Monday with some brief NW flow type snow for the mountains. The thermal profiles suggest more of a mixed p-type scenario if enough low level cold air could move in Sunday night. The GFS still has widespread precip but is also colder with the low track closer to the Gulf Coast. That said, the cold air doesn`t move in until the back side of the low keeping any wintry precip confined mainly to the mountains, with some spillage out across the I-40 corridor Sunday night and again Monday night as the low is departing. The GFS indicates a potential mixed p-type problem initially turning to a rain or snow scenario as the colder air moves in. The GFS ensemble mean shows a rain or snow scenario with up to an inch of snow outside of the mountains with up to 4 inches across the mountains, but there is a wide spread in individual members across the area. Given the above problems, have limited any p-type concerns to rain or snow, but this is subject to change as the event approaches. Also, limited PoP to the chance range for any one period. The models also show a lingering inverted surface trough across the area for Tuesday. The ECMWF is dry while the GFS has light precip over the area in response. I have kept the forecast dry for now given the uncertainty. Model blend temps have come in warmer through the period, but blended with the previous forecast to avoid some big changes in the forecast. The warmer temps would limit the amount of wintry precip outside of the mountains as well. However, there are good indications of a cooling trend through the period.
  7. Upstate Tiger

    February 2019 Observations

    Was snow and rain and 36 when I left Gastonia at 515. Just rain and 34 here in Cherryville now. Interesting that the valleys on all the roofs in neighborhood are ice covered. Obviously had some sleet or snow during the day here.
  8. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Well the northwest and Midwest are having epic winters. Cold and winter storms just set up west and north of us this year. Maybe we still get something this year. If not, maybe next year
  9. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    GSP keeps some idea of a wintry event next week for parts of the area. BTW...where are all the regular posters? This place is as dead as Williams Brice in the 4th quarter of Clemson - South Carolina game. The EC forecasts a stronger high to our north channeling in cool air as the deep moisture passes Tuesday and Tuesday night. Thus quite cool and quite wet with some wintry precip possible for northern parts of the mountains and foothills. Low pressures riding a front out of the Gulf will not move east of our area until early Thursday which is after the end of the current forecast period.
  10. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    From GSP AFD long term forecast: Monday night thru Tuesday...the cool air may set the stage for a wintry mess with the next storm system. The southern stream jet will start to amplify and lift northward slightly, placing strong entrance region upper divergence over the Southern Plains. So the signal is fairly strong on a very wet storm system developing somewhere across the southern states, bringing plenty of moisture into the region around New Day 7. Both the EC and GFS show a strong CAD developing and thicknesses supporting a mixed bag of precip types across much of the NC mountains and the I-40 corridor to the east. PoPs ramp back up to high-end chc to likely with temps mainly in the 30s to mid 40s.
  11. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    You know what that silly clown map reminds me of? The 93 Superstorm......aaahhh the memories. I guess that's all we're left with now!
  12. Upstate Tiger

    Southeast Sanitarium - A Place to Vent

    Well I just renewed my American Weather subscription for another year. If I don't get any snow by the end of March, can I get a refund?
  13. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Right on cue, the NAO looks to go negative at the end of the month, hopefully soon enough to give the SE one more opportunity for a winter storm. More than likely it just means another cold wet spring. It seems like I have put down mulch and a aerated my yard in a cold rain each spring for the last 5 years. LOL https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index_mrf.shtml
  14. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Sorry. Just being sarcastic with something I saw posted on Facebook earlier today.
  15. Upstate Tiger

    Mid to Long Term Discussion 2019

    Good news snow lovers! Some of my S.C. friends told me that WYFF said yesterday that the cold weather is over for this winter and an early spring is coming.