Upstate Tiger

The notes say it was an unusually mild day for July.

A far cry from July 4, 1776. Weather report from the pen of Thomas Jefferson. Guess he would have been in the NE Forum...

I would be thrilled to see us have a wet winter regardless of precipitation type. But odds for sustained cold or multiple winter storms seem stacked against us. It only takes one like in 1983. The problem is our cold source region tends be depleted of arctic air during a strong nino.

Glad for you all that are getting the rain! Much needed. We missed it by about 20 miles. Hopefully we get some tomorrow.

Hopefully not another 97/98 that was warm and had lots of severe weather including tornados. it only takes one cold air intrusion timed right to get a good winter storm. I would be surprised to see lots of below normal temps.

Heard my first katydid this morning. Always reminds me of my grandmother. Like a lot of mountain people, she was always reciting folklore. One of them was that 16 weeks from the first katydid singing in the mountains of SC would be the first frost. It actually always works out pretty close…

So we have officially entered El Niño phase. Most agree it will be strong and possibly super El Niño. The strongest El Niño on record was the super El Niño of 1877/1878. It actually started in late 1876 and was fully established in spring 1877. The winter of 1877/1878 was known as the year without winter, especially in the Midwest and eastern US. Farmers actually planted in February. This El Niño is starting a little later and no two are the same but at this point, an above average temp winter would be a good bet.

What an awesome day! Felt almost cool in the shade with the breeze. Probably the last day like this until September.

Wasn’t this the feature that nearly wrecked our 1/31 winter storm because it interrupted the gulf moisture transport?

Maybe we can get that back surgery dude to start the thread

My rain chances for tonight and tomorrow are falling like cheap lard. My yard is brown and crunchy.

Who would like to start the thread? On a more serious note, April 27 is the 15 year annivesary of the 2011 SE Super Outbreak....

I was in between 6-7 grades. Didn’t bother to go back and look at records but I do remember the family’s annual Myrtle Beach trip first week of June. Everyone was commenting on how unusual it was to be in the 90s. Don’t remember much about the rest of the summer except a lot of Boston, Frampton, Marshall Tucker, and Jimmy Buffet.

And no sign of a breakdown in this pattern for the next 2 weeks. It's one thing to experience summer onset drought after planting and growing season but during planrting and growing season is disastrous. Feel for the farmers in my area...

We are now relegated to chasing fantasy rain storms...