80 Degrees to Ripping Snow: March 12th

[SnowenOutThere]

It’s happening. Get on the bus. Go all in. 6 inches is my baseline for uva (based on GFS and prior temp forecast) 

[Fozz]

I’ve never seen a forecast for a (midnight) high in the 70s with frozen precip later that same day (in this region). Not in my 24 years of tracking weather

[konksw]

lol zero chance we see anything more than cold rain inside the beltway. 

[The Dude]

1 hour ago, Fozz said:

I’ve never seen a forecast for a (midnight) high in the 70s with frozen precip later that same day (in this region). Not in my 24 years of tracking weather

There was an event in March '95.  It was 70s early in the day, and we ended up with 2-3 inches of snow that evening.  Only time I've ever mowed the lawn in shorts and a tshirt and shoveled snow on the same day.

Edit:  Looks like it was March 8, 1995.  Highs were in the mid-60s, not 70s.  IAD had 1.8", DC .4", and BWI .2"

[WxUSAF]

Didn’t the famous Palm Sunday storm have 80s just before and after?

[wxdude64]

13 minutes ago, The Dude said:

There was an event in March '95.  It was 70s early in the day, and we ended up with 2-3 inches of snow that evening.  Only time I've ever mowed the lawn in shorts and a tshirt and shoveled snow on the same day.

March 9-16th of '95.  On 9th I had a 68 high, then a 22 low with 3 inches of snow. Next day an 11 degree low. Rapid turn around and a 77 degree high on the 16th. Crazy.

[Warm Nose]

Color me skeptical. Yeah it can and does happen. We'll see.

[bncho]

1 hour ago, SnowenOutThere said:

It’s happening. Get on the bus. Go all in. 6 inches is my baseline for uva (based on GFS and prior temp forecast) 

This feels like a bncho thread

[WxUSAF]

Don’t mind me over here alone in the corner with the FV3

[wasnow215]

I've gone from "no way we see snow" yesterday to "no way we don't see snow" today. Crazy-won't amount to much, but it's going to snow. Couple hours worth 

[dallen7908]

38 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Didn’t the famous Palm Sunday storm have 80s just before and after?

No and Maybe. The high temperatures in the Baltimore area on the week preceding the event were 55, 47, 55, 60, 56, 56, & 47. 

The high on the day of the storm was 36.

The high temperatures during the following days were

54,49,54,65,73,70,83,87,86,73,54,43

[AmericanWxFreak]

9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Don’t mind me over here alone in the corner with the FV3

Let me see it when you are done.

[MillvilleWx]

44 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Didn’t the famous Palm Sunday storm have 80s just before and after?

Westminster for that storm was beyond insane. 50's preceding, then 36/27 with 30" of snow, then 50 the next day. Absolute freak event

[mappy]

What. Snow? really? 

[paulythegun]

FV has a snow sandwich where the bread is the warm ground on one side and the sun angle on the other

[bncho]

HRRR is cool. But I feel like every HRRR run with snow ALWAYS favors my backyard. I'm sitting in a 2.5" Kuchie jack

[SnowenOutThere]

58 minutes ago, bncho said:

This feels like a bncho thread

You forget I was the original bncho years ago. That blood lives on.  

[AU74]

1 hour ago, The Dude said:

There was an event in March '95.  It was 70s early in the day, and we ended up with 2-3 inches of snow that evening.  Only time I've ever mowed the lawn in shorts and a tshirt and shoveled snow on the same day.

Edit:  Looks like it was March 8, 1995.  Highs were in the mid-60s, not 70s.  IAD had 1.8", DC .4", and BWI .2"

Your lawn needed mowing in early March?

[bncho]

GFS!

[TSSN+]

2 minutes ago, bncho said:

GFS!

GFS got to get one more epic fail in before the end of the season. 

[ravensrule]

27 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

GFS got to get one more epic fail in before the end of the season. 

Ill send pictures. 

[ThePhotoGuy]

31 minutes ago, bncho said:

GFS!

My god. Such a crappy model. 

[peribonca]

Watch this become DC's biggest storm of the year

[Kay]

Seriously wtf.

Kind of fun though, and no stress. Just to sit and marvel at it.

[SnowenOutThere]

BTW it has most of that snow fall in just three hours. 

At least the sounding isn't as bad as the last couple runs. 

[wasnow215]

9 minutes ago, ThePhotoGuy said:

My god. Such a crappy model. 

Actually the "snowdepth" graphic is pretty reasonable. 

[TSSN+]

17 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

Ill send pictures. 

No thanks. My fiance sends me those. 

[Nomz]

I learned my lesson with marginal temps in the Georgetown desert.

[rjvanals]

I’m running to the grocery store to stock up on supplies for the GFS snowstorm 

[BristowWx]

36 minutes ago, peribonca said:

Watch this become DC's biggest storm of the year

will have to wait for the 12z runs tomorrow or just look outside.  more than 18hrs out is fantasy range for the GFS.