October Comes Early: Late September Multi-Hazard Hybrid Storm

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Averaged over 6hr. His problem is it’s mm and not inches. So that’s about 1.5” in that orange pixel. 

Yeah, i mean euro had one run give me 4” in 6 hrs, but you’d have to be in that band quite awhile. 

 

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Some convection blossoming too north side of the center. Also, a very nice flux of moisture entraining into this from the Caribbean 

[Typhoon Tip]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah, i mean euro had one run give me 4” in 6 hrs, but you’d have to be in that band quite awhile. 

 

under one of those Texas Panhandle stationary super cells

[DirtySnowDen]

Will this thing actually make a landfall or meander just south of LI/NJ ?

[DirtySnowDen]

9 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Some convection blossoming too north side of the center. Also, a very nice flux of moisture entraining into this from the Caribbean 

The eyewall did not disappear. It’s working on itself, you can see the inner cloud wall developing.

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, DirtySnowDen said:

Will this thing actually make a landfall or meander just south of LI/NJ ?

Given how close to the coast it is modeled to get, I think so eventually—whether initially along the NJ coast or when it’s weaker and moving NE over part of New England.

[WinterWolf]

51 minutes ago, DirtySnowDen said:

The is going to be bad, the fact the broad and oddly cold high pressure is splitting into a two engine system as the tropical low pressure comes north and hits a wall it spilts evenly, not allowing it to leave in either direction so it’s lost and there is a Full Moon this weekend.

James?   James, is that you? 

[CCHurricane]

25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

6 inches in 6 hrs

mm/hr

[LSC97wxnut]

How many named naked swirls have we seen over the years?  In the eyes of those who know better, should this count?

[WxWatcher007]

9 minutes ago, LSC97wxnut said:

How many named naked swirls have we seen over the years?  In the eyes of those who know better, should this count?

No. This isn’t tropical or subtropical currently. 

[DirtySnowDen]

I’m not a hype person, but looking at vis. sat, you can see the cold air eating away around SC/ NC

[WalpoleJoe]

33 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

James?   James, is that you? 

RIP, he would have been all over this one. Can throw Messinger into that one, too. 

[MJOatleast7]

1 hour ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

yeah, probably be able to pull super cooled columns of air out of the stratosphere and flip some over to snow.

As wolves whimper before being frozen at -150 degrees and Dennis Quaid looks for his sons.

[Cyclone-68]

Naked Swirl would be a decent band name 

[DirtySnowDen]

She’s looking to feast on LI as the highs split, you can tell by the isobar placement.

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Averaged over 6hr. His problem is it’s mm and not inches. So that’s about 1.5” in that orange pixel. 

Don't ask me how but I was able to get all my bookmarks back through Google takeout 

[ineedsnow]

[Ginx snewx]

My bad on mm

 Scooter gets half a foot of rain and finds a way to meh it. His boss vortex95 will be all over him

 

[CT Rain]

That's a lot of wind on the Euro. 

[Masswx]

7 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

That's a lot of wind on the Euro. 

Where?

[ma blizzard]

Not everyday you can see such clear orographic effects and frictional convergence in SE Mass along the coast .. totals thru 12z Sunday morning so just getting started 

[CoastalWx]

Euro has 60+ I think srn CT and especially LI. Probably 50-60 here.

[CoastalWx]

@Ginx snewxNot meh'ing it, but just saying over 3 days or so won't cause a ton of issues.

[CoastalWx]

I feel like models are stuggling to resolve the low. Still meandering north when 6z hi res were pulling west already. I suppose it could go west soon before wobbling NNE tomorrow and then final tug west late tomorrow night...but where that happens is important for BOS to srn CT.

[Ginx snewx]

Should be quite the show

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

That's a lot of wind on the Euro. 

Ya that track would put us in a windy spot. 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

Should be quite the show

Jackpot here on that depiction.

[dryslot]

The bulk of the precip up here falls Sun-Tues once the SLP lifts NNE.

[Bostonseminole]

AI GFS lol  

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, Bostonseminole said:

AI GFS lol  

Scooter TMEH say meh