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MJOatleast7

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  1. MJOatleast7

    Jan 4-6 Coastal Bomb

    Thunderstorm may have gone overhead.
  2. MJOatleast7

    Jan 4-6 Coastal Bomb

    GFS also looked a hair colder, RS line farther SE, more of a warm core. Wow
  3. MJOatleast7

    Long lasting intense Cold for New England

    Christmas 1980 comes to mind. BOS hit -8 that morning and although there was a strong wind, some locations in the burbs probably hit -10. Oddly I can't find official records on wunderground, but I remember hearing on the radio a forecast for -10 to -15 actual in the burbs. This was after a high in the upper 30s the previous day. Jan. 2003 also had a min about -7 in BOS, so probably then too.
  4. MJOatleast7

    Jan 4-6 Coastal Bomb

    Rocket fuel.
  5. def ticked colder on the 12z GFS...
  6. MJOatleast7

    Late autumn, early winter model mayhem

    Of course it makes a difference if the pattern actually produces or not...I think many of us would feel better about a 2-week pattern that gave a few nickel-and-dimes plus a bigger event but would feel cheated if the same pattern with the same temps was dry and gave us a dusting or 2.. I guess some on here are afraid of the latter.
  7. MJOatleast7

    Fall 2017 Model Mehham

    Arctic shots will help knock down the SSTs anyway, even if no storm results. So going forward it's a good thing, SSTs are still crazy warm
  8. MJOatleast7

    Tropical Season 2017

    Actually in terms of force applied it's proportional to the cube of the wind speed. So a 20mph difference applies more force moving into objects, much more than most people think. Many people think it varies by the square of the wind speed, but it's actually the cube. This really shows up when considering flood waters' ability to move a car when only a foot or so deep -- get that water moving at higher velocity and it exerts disproportionately more force than you'd think. Here's a great site that explains it: https://www.homepower.com/articles/wind-power/design-installation/ask-experts-wind-speed-cubed
  9. MJOatleast7

    Tropical Season 2017

    Yeah I wondered why that is... in the absence of a strong ENSO signal. Could it be just an expression of the above normal SSTs in the tropics generally... a summer cousin to the endless high tropical heights that wouldn't aloow anything to dig last winter?
  10. MJOatleast7

    Summer Banter & General Discussion/Observations

    I remember driving back from N NJ to BOS one 4th of July and hearing on the radio - at 1:30 AM - a 92F reading in Central Park and a Power Warning in NYC on account of all the AC on. I thought it probably didn't drop below 95F all night in Harlem. Close to giving lie to the conventional wisdom that Death Valley is the only place in the continental USA where nighttime temperatures can remain above 100.
  11. MJOatleast7

    Spring Banter & General Discussion/Observations

    Could be worse...Seattle AFD from this April:
  12. MJOatleast7

    Model Mehham

    But then there was 1977...solidly AN in stretches in April and May, then AN in July w/ a high of 102
  13. MJOatleast7

    Millennial kid of April Fools obs and pics

    Is it being paranoid when they really ARE out to get you?
  14. MJOatleast7

    Jan 31 st/Feb 1st Clipper Obs

    Flurry just started in BOS
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