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It's coming 1/31-2/1


Rjay
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20 minutes ago, Poker2015 said:

Isn't that placement a little too close to the coast for all snow on the jersey shore and LI?

Nope no worries. Not only is the storm working cold air in place a low that strong will also produce its own cold air. The only fly in the ointment is that if the storm gets to close to the coast someone might get screwed with a dry slot.

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It's early, but IMO based on the modeled pattern (assuming it holds), I'd give the system nearly a 2-in-3 chance of coming far enough up the coast to impact Long Island, New York City, and at least its nearby northern and western suburbs. The exact track will be crucial to details, but at this stage the guidance cannot accurately resolve the synoptic details.

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