Northof78

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Everything posted by Northof78

  1. models will flip and flop, and could be a flop, but give me fresh cold air, Neg NAO, and some juiced disturbances in March, and I’ll take my chances for something good...
  2. Strong NAO building in with cold air pressing, while a storm attempts to come up the coast produce potential for a significant winter storm for parts of the area 12Z GFS
  3. At work in Bergen, but looking at home camera looks to be about 2" - 3" and snowing heavily...
  4. Looks good for this storm, trending in right direction, now with 2-4” forecasted...
  5. Looking at all models and the current cold, but ‘staling’ airmass, 2-4” (maybe one stray 5” report in higher elevations) most of Morris, Sussex, W Passaic, N Somerset, Warren, N Hunterdon, 1-3” W Essex, W Union, S/C Somerset, most of Bergen, C-1” NYC and all other areas
  6. Was this February everyone #1 February over the past 20-30 years? Still a little to go, with likely full coverage wall to wall with snowcover, a 16” -30” HECS, 1-2 SECS, and 1-2 smaller storms...it’s up there
  7. Probably about 0.5” new today, for about 4” for this storm total....41” for the season; a total of 29 days season snowcover; 20 consecutive days now
  8. Looks like for the NYC Metro 2-4" from round 1 and then maybe another 1-3" over the next 18 hours for a total of 4"-7" or so. But in C & C/S NJ, they could be looking for a storm total of around a foot, with 8-10" alone from round 1.
  9. Yes, this will bust high for you and possibly others in NJ
  10. Looking at radar, I would say somewhere in NJ sees 6-8” from wave 1 alone...very impressive look all the way back to WV and SW
  11. Small flakes but very dense snow, moderate overall, already a quick coating/0.25” OTG
  12. New nam back to an inch of total QPF for most of the region with both waves, and a nice hit from wave 1 alone
  13. Warnings up for most of PHL zones....
  14. NAM now has long duration storm though...not ending till Fri night...
  15. Sounds like EURO would be 5-9" if that cold/ratios even with 0.4" - 0.6" QPF....
  16. Hate to say it, but this is one of the more obvious outcome storms seen in a while 6-9" seems very high confidence for most of metro regardless of model almost
  17. GFS prolonged, and starts early, just a long duration 80% to 100% snow storm for metro....all models get us to 6" - 10", just in different ways...
  18. Again, every model has been very steady over past 1-2 days with a 6-10" storm for the metro, a little mix after the main show. NAM continues this.,..
  19. Looks like 6-9” for most in the forum...maybe a little light mix after main thump of precip
  20. NAM is a lot of snow for majority of forum...9-13"; although once north of 84 gets iffy with confluence and tight gradient
  21. NAM is a big hit...all snow through the first wave; with 1"+ QPF
  22. NAM would be an epic thump with Kuchera totals of around 8-10" within 6 or so hours starting early Thu morning...then tapers to light snow after part 1, with another piece of the storm likely to follow (that could be likely sleet to snow) on top
  23. Did not lose much snow at all last night, holding in mid 30s, even if we, for a time pop into 40s later today, without rain, should be some melting, but nothing that bad, should be there strong for Thursday...