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Northof78

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Everything posted by Northof78

  1. Saturday could be largest storm for some in this period
  2. 1.5" for the storm, 15" for the season, hoping to have a chance to near 20" by end of the weekend...
  3. GFS for Saturday looks like a solid 2-4" front running over running for entire area....all snow QPF in the 0.25 - 0.4 range.
  4. Interesting that there is a south wind...and not North/North East
  5. Mostly Cloudy, interesting storm upcoming, where most modeling has the precipitation coming from the due south/from the ocean....more coastal related...
  6. NWS going with 3-5" for southern 1/3 of region and 5" - 7" for northern 2/3...reasonable with some upside potential (NAM)
  7. Close to 1" QPF for N/C NJ and 0.75" for almost all of the region, close to 100% snow for Rt.80 N and 75% snow Rt.78 N, this verbatim is very impactful storm with warning levels
  8. Yup, the GFS type thump and go of 3-5" for the area is very possible, with material snow falling in 4-5 hours
  9. Final Forecast: NYC/EWR- 3.0" (about 50/50 snow-sleet) SMQ- 3.5" (about 50/50 snow-sleet) MMU- 4.5" (about 70/30 snow/sleet) HPN- 5.5" (about 80/20 snow sleet) There is 1"-2"upside potential to these numbers depending on how different waves interact, thump timing, cold intrusion (now occuring), etc. with little downside potential from these totals.
  10. Looks like NWS New York right on with general 3-6" around the metro so far with some sleet as well given all morning guidance.
  11. NAM looks good for roughly 78N (although with a couple different waves of precip, some in S/C Jersey could get similar totals), think 3-5" for most in N NJ outside of 5-7" in NW Jersey and S NY State
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