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Northof78

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Everything posted by Northof78

  1. Northof78
    Very large move with the GFS to essentially meet the other models at this point, now just a matter of how clean the storm is or more strung out...but snow is coming...
  2. Northof78
    WS Watches extended west in NJ
  3. Northof78
    Correct, it is cold at 850 as well with our relation to the storm position well to our S/E and with little overrunning lower ratios
  4. Northof78
    With the cold we have here on the backend of a CCB 12-13:1 should be realized
  5. Northof78
    12Z NAM, Kuchera, major storm for almost all on the forum.
  6. Northof78
    Close to 0.9" QPF in NYC of the NAM, with some ratio, should be 10" - 12" in CPK
  7. Northof78
    NAM should be 8-12" for most of the region, outside of C/E LI with more
  8. Northof78
    This and the NAM actually shows low occluding/stalling to our south and fairly tucked, any option obviously is still on the table...tomorrow 12Z should be the runs where we can nail it down
  9. Northof78
    NAM and EURO are almost identical Nam has the low well tucked just E of LI, likely to make landfall in SE MA or the islands....All of Metro 12-24"
  10. Northof78
    Light snow starts Friday afternoon/evening
  11. Northof78
    When the most S/E major model (GFS) has the 6" line running around I-95, with others (NAM, EURO, RGEM) 12" plus...get excited.
  12. Northof78
    At this range for the coast (especially E LI/SE Mass), starting to think mix/rain more an issue than a miss with overall setup
  13. Northof78
    NAM looks like mostly a I-95 & SE event, but could just be random movement
  14. Northof78
    6Z NAM good for a nice 2-4”
  15. Northof78
    This looks like a very nice setup for I-95 and most here...3-5" certainly possible
  16. Northof78
    Seperate thread for that, and that now looks like it could be a 3-5" storm, likely bigger storm that whatever this turns out to be
  17. Northof78
    Real storm to watch is Thursday (anafront wave)
  18. Northof78
    I think this will be the bigger storm over the next week, looks like a nice 2 - 4" for most...other looks offshore
  19. Northof78
    1.2” with mod/heavy snow
  20. Northof78
    NAM well S/E http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/nam/00/nam_namer_078_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif
  21. Northof78
    Very little sleet with this storm and the thermal profile most likely, either rain, snow, or no for 95% of the precip
  22. Northof78
    Insance cut-off right around Rt.78 or the Raritan River between C-1" and 6"+
  23. Northof78
    Again, 4"+ thump from about Rt.78 N and NYC area and W. Models are starting to converge on this solution.
  24. Northof78
    Verbatim new GFS is a hard SNOW thump from about Rt.78 and N
  25. Northof78
    Great Thump depicted that frame mostly dry slot...maybe a touch of wrap around flurries, etc.
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